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本研究从长江危险化学品的货种及运量、装卸码头及运输船舶、交通流量等方面分析了长江危险化学品泄漏事故风险。通过类比海运船舶泄漏事故致因,结合长江船舶交通事故致因分析,本研究设定了长江危险化学品事故场景,采用Chemmap对航道发生苯运输船舶的泄漏事故进行计算机模拟,并根据需要关注的断面设置关注点,考察泄漏污染物浓度变化。根据模拟结果,可在危险化学品泄漏事故发生后,为下游敏感资源的事故预警以及应急对策措施的选择提供决策支持。 相似文献
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随着我国经济的不断深入发展和产业需求,危险化学品的运输和储存呈现快速增长的态势。危险品船舶呈现大型化趋势,水上危险品泄漏事故风险持续增大。为了更好的防治水上危险化学品污染、提高事故应急响应速度,急需一种对危险化学品泄露的快速监测设备。依据性质不同,危险化学品泄露的过程可能会伴随着VOCs的大量挥发。为便于快速准确的发现泄露事故,本研究基于VOC的红外吸收原理开发了一种红外化学品传感器。采用本产品针对苯乙烯进行了测量实验。实验结果表明,本产品可以检测到苯乙烯的一个特征峰。本产品的开发,对危险化学品泄露监控监测提供了一种新的思路,有进一步研发的意义。 相似文献
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背景:2005年3月29日,京沪高速公路江苏淮安段发生35吨液氯槽罐车与一货车相撞事故,导致槽罐车液氯大面积泄漏。由于肇事的槽罐车驾驶员逃逸,延误了最佳抢险救援时机,造成29人中毒死亡,公路旁3个乡镇大量村民中毒,京沪高速公路宿迁至宝应段关闭20个小时。事故从一个侧面反映出运输企业危险化学品运输应急救援预案存在的问题。危险化学品的运输安全管理因交通运输行业本身的高风险性和危险化学品品种的多样性、潜在的高危险性、事故高危害性而日益受到全社会的高度关注。如何提高危险化学品运输应急救援预案的针对性、适用性和可操作性,从而提… 相似文献
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危险化学品在高速公路运输过程中,因自然条件、路况、人为等因素的影响,随时可能发生泄露事故.这些事故一旦处置不当,将产生严重后果.有针对性地利用Unity3D游戏引擎设计一款基于VR虚拟现实技术高速公路危化品泄露事故疏散训练系统,可以提高受训人员的自救意识和疏散能力,防止二次伤害.系统包括四个模块:训练前培训模块、泄露场... 相似文献
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当你在宽阔平坦的高速公路上奔驰时,行驶在你身旁的那辆货车上或许正装载着危险化学品,而危化品运输在任何一个方面存在问题而发生事故的话,都可能会带来无法挽回的巨大损失。近年来,随着全国经济的蓬勃发展和化工企业的增加,危化品运输变得越来越频繁,危险品泄漏之类的安全生产事故发生率也随之上升。 相似文献
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This paper describes the application of probabilistic risk assessment techniques to level crossing safety on JR East, the largest of the six private railroads in Japan. The risk of a level crossing accident was defined as the product of the accident rate and the expected consequences per accident. Rail traffic volume, road traffic volume, visibility of the crossing from the road, road gradient, width of the crossing and the type of safety devices at the crossing were shown to influence the accident rate and the collective risk. The mean accident rate at all crossings was 0.74 per million trains. The accident rate was 0.59 per million trains at crossings equipped with barriers, 1.25 at crossings equipped with warning bells and 0.76 at pedestrian crossings. Crossings equipped with obstacle detectors had a lower accident rate (0.12 per million trains) than crossings without detectors (0.43 per million trains). Crossings with visibility less than 20 m had a 50% higher mean accident rate than crossings with visibility greater than 20 m. As the number of tracks increased, the accident rate monotonically increased due to the increased accident exposure. Risk assessment techniques were applied to determine the efficacy of the various level crossing safety devices. In addition to upgrading the safety of crossings, the management techniques stressed the importance of education campaigns in warning the public about the dangers of illegal crossings. 相似文献
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全球民航事故调查数据统计与分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
为探索全球民航事故的发生及调查规律,从航空安全网(ASN)采集626起事故调查数据,对事故发生季度、类型、机型等特征进行统计分析,同时对事故调查的实施机构、调查时长、各类事故调查时长等特征展开分析。结果发现:全球民航事故随运行时间的增加呈现波浪形缓慢下降;事故数量最多的前两位为冲偏出跑道和飞机失去控制,并多集中在第三季度(7-9月);波音公司各机型事故曲线整体类似,同时与空客公司各机型飞机事故曲线存在差异。民航事故调查从开始到发布报告的平均周期为26.1个月;各调查机构针对冲偏出跑道、失去控制、可控飞行撞地事故的平均调查周期分别为22.2、40.4、12.4个月。研究结果为民航事故预防政策制定及事故调查提供参考依据。 相似文献
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高速公路交通事故频频发生,如果在事故发生后能及时检测事故,并采取有效的紧急救援措施,可以极大程度降低事故造成的损失,预防二次连锁事故发生。文章从事故检测、事故响应策略、事故现场管理、事故清除等方面探讨了高速公路二次交通事故的预防技术与策略。 相似文献
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David B. Brown 《运输规划与技术》2013,36(2):131-138
An integrated system approach to traffic accident countermeasure selection is presented. This approach draws primarily upon the resources of a computerized accident records system for identifying high accident locations. Once high accident locations are identified by type, local investigations of these locations are conducted producing standardized cost and benefit data. These data are processed through a dynamic programming algorithm to produce optimal policies for implementation. Since this system has been in operation in two states in the United States for about five years, it should be of special interest to practitioners. 相似文献
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ABSTRACTTo build a traffic safety feature model and to quantify accident influences caused by some traffic violation behaviors of drivers, an accident diagnostic decision-making model is established. For the purpose of diagnosing accident morphologies, rough set theory is applied and the influence of traffic factors of different accident morphologies is quantified through calculating the degree of attribute importance, selecting core traffic factors and adopting a C4.5 decision tree algorithm. In the paper, road traffic accident data from 2008 to 2013 in Anhui Province are used. Typical rules are selected, targeted strategy proposals are put forward, and then, a scientific and reasonable diagnostic basis is provided for the diagnosis of traffic safety risks and the prediction of potential traffic accidents. 相似文献
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Two semi-logarithmic regression models are developed to estimate accident rates and accident costs, respectively, for rural non-interstate highways in the state of Iowa. Data on 21,224 accidents occurring between 1989 and 1991 on 17,767 road segments are used in the analysis. Seven road attributes of these road segments are included as predictor variables. Applying the resulting regression models to a rather typical highway upgrade situation, the present value of the accident cost saving is computed. The sensitivity of the estimated cost saving to values for fatal, personal injury, and property damage only accidents is tested.Because factors other than road characteristics greatly influence accident costs, the models developed in this research explain a limited amount of the variance in these costs among road segments. Results of the analysis indicate that the most important attribute associated with accident costs is average daily traffic per lane, followed by conditions requiring passing restrictions and the sharpness of curves. Varying the values for the three categories of accidents shows that results are far more sensitive to the value of personal injuries than fatalities. The feasibility of using predictive models of accident costs in benefit-cost analyses of highway investments is demonstrated. 相似文献
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The relationship among highway geometrics,traffic-related elements and motor-vehicle accident frequencies 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This research provides a demonstration of a statistical model of accident frequency that can eventually be used as part of a proactive program to allocate safety-related highway improvement funds. Negative binomial regressions of annual accident frequency on sections of principal arterials in Washington State were estimated using data from two years (1992 and 1993). In all, 31306 observations were used in model estimation (annual accident frequencies on specific sections of highway). Our estimation results isolated the effects of various highway geometric and traffic characteristics on annual accident frequency. Subsequent elasticity computations identified the relative importance of the variables included in our specifications. The findings show that the negative binomial regression used in this paper is a powerful predictive tool and one that should be increasingly applied in future accident frequency studies. 相似文献
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Wayne K. Talley Di Jin Hauke Kite-Powell 《Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment》2001,6(6):42
The vessel accident oil-spillage literature has focused on oil-cargo vessels, tankers and tank barges, implicitly assuming that these vessels incur greater accident oil-spillage than other (i.e., non-oil-cargo) vessels which just carry oil in their fuel tanks. This study investigates the validity of this assumption for the post US OPA-90 (Oil Pollution Act of 1990) period by investigating determinants of vessel accident oil-spillage, where one of the hypothesized determinants is type of vessel (including both oil-cargo and non-oil-cargo vessels). Tobit regression estimates of vessel accident oil-spillage functions suggest that tank barges have incurred greater in-water and out-of-water oil-spillage for the post OPA-90 period than non-oil-cargo vessels; alternatively, tankers have not incurred greater out-of-water (in-water) oil-spillage than non-oil-cargo vessels (except for freight ships). The policy implication is that greater attention needs to be given to reducing tank barge accident oil-spillage in the post OPA-90 period. 相似文献