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<正>近几年来,通过对国内外经济发展趋势的展望,对大连港经济腹地的论证和物流调查,吞吐量水平的预测,来港船型发展趋势分析,大连港性质、功能、地位、作用及其发展方向的探讨,提高港口开放度的专题研究和大连岸线勘察规划等大量调研工作,使我们深刻认识到从现在至2020年,将是大连港一个极其重要的历史发展阶段。科学地确定这一阶段的发展方向和目标,不仅对港口自身,而且对东北和大连市的建设与发展,乃至全国港口建设和发展格局都将产生重大影响。 一 展望腹地经济开发和国际贸易发展的前景,到21世纪初叶,大连港将成为“六大转运中心”和“三大运输基地”。 (一)六大转运中心 1.油运中心。到21世纪,大连港将改变油品单一出口的局面,变成有进有出。预测原油、成品油吞吐总量将达到4000万吨左右,大连港将成为我国最大的油品转运中心。鲇鱼湾油港将成为能进能出,有原油、有成品油的综合性油品作业区。 2.粮运中心。几年来,年通过大连港进出粮食总量已达1000万吨,大连已成为东北亚最大的粮食进出口岸。预测到2020年,将超过1000万吨。问题是目前运输装卸工艺落后,港口亟待建设专业化小麦和玉米泊位,陆上建机械化粮仓,用专业化铁路车辆取送疏运。通过建设和改造,大连口岸必将成为具有现代化水平的粮运中? 相似文献
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以大连港历史数据为依据,运用指数平滑、回归分析、弹性系数法等对大连港集装箱吞吐量进行预测分析,并在原有预测方法的基础上提出一种新的组合预测模型,通过对各预测结果的比较。证明此模型在港口吞吐量预测中有较高的精度。 相似文献
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以新经济地理学模型为理论基础,计算出我国港口空间格局的演化过程,分析了我国港口空间格局演化的原因,并给出了我国港口空间格局演化的趋势。 相似文献
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大连港口与城市关系的演变 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
为探索大连港城关系的演变规律,为大连市发展和建设提供一定的理论依据,分析大连港城关系在不同发展阶段的特征,基于生命周期理论论证大连市港口与城市关系的历史沿革和演变过程,从定量角度分析大连港口与城市的关系,认为大连市港口吞吐量总是随着国民经济的增长而增长,但在不同发展阶段港口呈现不同的发展速度。 相似文献
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目前内河航运行业存在制度与标准建设滞后现象,不利于工程建设与行业发展。以龙溪口航电枢纽工程为例,梳理现阶段内河航运工程建设用地工作中用地指标、建设工期定额及涉及工程建设用地与征地移民有关的技术规范等微观制度建设方面的不足,并提出相应建议。从政策层面尽快颁布《航运工程建设用地指标》等政策文件,或明确借用相关行业类似政策文件;在航运工程建设征地中引入“先行用地”制度与应用;从行业层面尽快颁布《航运工程建设工期定额》、《航运工程建设征地处理范围界定规范》等行业规范文件,以利于航运工程征地移民工作管理,促进项目与行业高效、健康、可持续发展。 相似文献
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地质工作与国土资源管理工作联系紧密,地质学科的专业知识在管理工作中应用广泛。最近十几年来,地质管理工作的深度和广度不足。由于政府的重视,地质工作重新得到了充分的肯定,地质工作在国土资源管理领域做出了越来越大的贡献。建立系统项目库、与信息技术的结合、加强地质人才的培养及促进人与地质环境和谐是地质工作发挥更大作用的几个发展方向。 相似文献
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Tom Crandall 《Coastal management》2013,41(4):451-466
Abstract The San Diego Coast Regional Commission, faced with the responsibility of approving, approving with conditions, or denying permits for development proposed along the scenic coastal bluffs of San Diego county, has adopted guidelines for bluff‐top development which assures retention of scenic vistas and provision of public access while permitting private landowners “reasonable use”; of their property. These unique guidelines delineate certain environmental and aesthetic parameters within which bluff‐top development may take place. Portions of the guidelines are presented, and some of the factors leading to their formulation and adoption are discussed. 相似文献
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Paul Van Seters 《Coastal management》2013,41(2):253-273
Abstract In June 1987, the U.S. Supreme Court in Nollan v. California Coastal Commission held against the California Coastal Commission. Did this legal landmark signal the rise of a new, conservative jurisprudence of takings? And if yes, did that imply the demise of what had been accomplished by the so‐called quiet revolution in land use control that swept the country in the late 1960s and early 1970s? The complexities of this case cannot be understood apart from the historical evolution of the Coastal Commission's policies through the 1970s and 1980s, particularly its coastal access policies. Because of these policies the Coastal Commission, since its inception in 1972, has been subjected to all kinds of criticism, but at the same time has been widely praised for its balanced approach. These varying assessments of the role and record of the Commission also underly the conflicting viewpoints and arguments of Justices Scalia, who wrote for the majority in Nollan, and Brennan, who filed an extremely strong dissent. The resulting legal uncertainties, added to the political setbacks suffered from a lukewarm legislature and a hostile governor, forced the Commission to temper its assertive mission of maximizing coastal access, at least for the time being. 相似文献
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Yang Hua 《Coastal management》2013,41(1):59-79
China's national marine development strategy acknowledges that land reclamation problems cannot be avoided. Land reclamation has increased rapidly, leading to many risks—as regards resources, the environment, and social concerns. China needs to implement measures to control these risks. Analysis of current legal regulations on land reclamation reveals paradoxes of legislation at the national level and varying regional legal practices; there is a shortage of effective and coordinated land reclamation regulations in China. Analysis of the factors that affect land reclamation shows that regulation plays a central role in managing land reclamation. And, through an analysis of the deficiencies in existing legislation and by learning from the experience of other countries, we can propose a direction for China's land reclamation legislation. Such reforms could effectively protect China's marine resources, avoid environmental and societal risks, and contribute to coastline protection. 相似文献