电动自行车交通事故特征与安全改善对策

近10年,电动自行车在中国迅速普及且安全形势非常严峻。通过分析电动自行车与其他交通方式的事故数据,从交通安全总体形势、事故时空特征分布、原因以及肇事者与受害者等方面总结电动自行车的事故特点。从事故分析特征来看,近年来电动自行车事故死亡人数上升较快,大量事故是因为违反交通法规引发,并且主动肇事比例和致死率偏高,而早晚高峰时段和交叉口是事故高发的时空重点;从骑行者特征来看,中老年群体和工人农民群体是主要受害群体,颅脑损伤是首要致死原因。最后,对照事故影响因素和管理实际,提出下一发展阶段中国电动自行车的安全改善对策。     

2002年日本坐式摩托车发展动向(2)

(上接2003年第1期) 250 mL车型 如前所述,50 mL坐式车的车型数比5年前减少了将近一半,很多老的车型已淘汰.随着技术的进步和市场的变化,这一级别坐式车的发展趋势主要表现在以下几个方面.     

中国海员外派劳务质量策略探讨

在简要介绍中国海员劳务外派业务的现状基础上,分析了中国外派海员劳务竞争力,并从营销的角度探讨了提高中国海员外派劳务质量的措施与建议.     

动态GPS在公路定位中的应用

介绍采用动态ＧＰＳ测量方法获取公路属性信息。采用该法测量具有速度快，费用低等优点，且精度可满足管理者的需要。     

GIS在公路管理中的作用

根据安徽省建立公路地理信息系统的经验，介绍ＧＩＳ的概念、功能以及在管理方面的应用。     

浅谈海事文化理念和实践

海事文化分为海事管理文化、海事行为文化及海事物态文化,并按此基本结构模式、建立创建对象、创建目标、创建方法.     

地铁工程中基坑施工工法选择分析

中国地铁建设的热潮方兴未艾，但由于地铁施工环境的复杂性、工期及造价的限制，使得地铁施工的工法选择非常重要．尤其是围护结构选择，现结合西安地铁车站设计和施工实际，对地铁施工中围护结构通常采用的几种工法：地下连续墙、灌注桩、土钉墙、SMW工法连续墙等的特点及其实用条件作了比较分析，进行了工法方案的选择，并得出了关于地铁围护施工工法比较的一些普遍结论，     

Classification decision tree algorithm assisting in diagnosing solitary pulmonary nodule by SPECT/CT fusion imaging

Objective To develop a classification tree algorithm to improve diagnostic performances of 99mTc-MIBI SPECT/CT fusion imaging in differentiating solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs). Methods Forty-four SPNs, including 30 malignant cases and 14 benign ones that were eventually pathologically identified, were included in this prospective study. All patients received 99Tcm-MIBI SPECT/CT scanning at an early stage and a delayed stage before operation. Thirty predictor variables, including 11 clinical variables, 4 variables of emission and 15 variables of transmission information from SPECT/CT scanning, were analyzed independently by the classification tree algorithm and radiological residents. Diagnostic rules were demonstrated in tree-topology, and diagnostic performances were compared with Area under Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC). Results A classification decision tree with lowest relative cost of 0.340 was developed for 99Tcm-MIBI SPECT/CT scanning in which the value of Target/Normal region of 99Tcm-MIBI uptake in the delayed stage and in the early stage, age, cough and specula sign were five most important contributors. The sensitivity and specificity were 93.33% and 78. 57e, respectively, a little higher than those of the expert. The sensitivity and specificity by residents of Grade one were 76.67% and 28.57%, respectively, and AUC of CART and expert was 0.886±0.055 and 0.829±0.062, respectively, and the corresponding AUC of residents was 0.566±0.092. Comparisons of AUCs suggest that performance of CART was similar to that of expert (P=0.204), but greater than that of residents (P<0.001). Conclusion Our data mining technique using classification decision tree has a much higher accuracy than residents. It suggests that the application of this algorithm will significantly improve the diagnostic performance of residents.     

航材管理现状及我国的对策

明确了航材管理对于航空公司良好运营的重要性,从航材管理部门职能的角度,通过对国内外航材管理现状的对比分析,找出了我国航空公司在航材管理方面的不足,进而提出了我国航材管理的改进对策。