ERTMS安全性研究——第三篇 ERTMS/ERTML

ERTMS/ERTML是欧洲铁路运输系统管理层的缩写(European Rail Traffic Management Sys-tem/European Rail Traffic Management Layer).ERTML的目标是建立一个高层次的全欧洲铁路运输管理系统.到目前为止,影响其运作决策的主要因素是双边协议及合同.     

Reconstructions of marine environmental conditions and scenarios for future changes

Long-term changes of environmental conditions are fundamentally important for many sectors in the maritime industry. Observational evidence from which such long-term changes may be reliably derived is often limited. Here we briefly illustrate the present situation and present an approach on how quasirealistic environmental models can be used in combination with existing data to reconstruct recent long-term changes and to derive scenarios of future developments. We concentrate on variables of primary importance for the maritime industry, namely wind-storms, wind-waves and storm surges. Examples are provided for the North Sea area.     

A global view on port state control: econometric analysis of the differences across port state control regimes

This article is based on 183 819 port state control inspections from various port state control regimes for the time frame 1999 to 2004. Using binary logistic regression, we establish the differences of port state control inspections across several regimes, even though theory predicts there should be no significant differences in treatments of vessels. The results indicate that the differences towards the probability of detention are merely reflected by the differences in port states and the treatment of deficiencies and not necessarily by age, size, flag, class or owner as perceived by the industry and regulators. The analysis further shows that some differences can be found across ship types and regimes and that there appears to be room for further harmonization in the area of port state control.     

Using high sampling-rate ADCP for observing vigorous processes above sloping [deep] ocean bottoms

Above sloping bottoms in the ocean mixing processes are not predominantly generated by shear-induced turbulence via bottom friction. Instead, the restratifying buoyancy forces and internal waves create a highly non-linearly varying environment including ‘stratified turbulence’. Most of the resulting vigorous mixing processes that dominate sediment resuspension occur during the passage of frontal bores or solitary boluses, ‘solibores’. Here, the observed evolution of different forms of highly non-linear strictly upslope moving ‘waves’, bores or boluses are reviewed from various NIOZ projects at deep sloping bottom sites ranging from 500 to 3000 m.Such fronts pass a fixed site within a few minutes, extending some 60 ± 30 m above the bottom and occurring over much larger periods at once per subinertial or meso-scale period or approximately, but not exactly, once per tidal harmonic period. In order to observe the details of such solibore one needs specific, high-sampling rate equipment. A suitable piece of equipment is a bottom-mounted 4-beam 300 kHz acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP), provided it samples at a rate of about once per second over a period of at least several weeks. Not just the three components of current velocity [u,v,w] are monitored over a range of some 80 m at 1 m intervals, but also the relative ‘echo intensity’ dI, which is a measure for suspended matter and stratified turbulence. Such ADCP-observations are combined and compared with high-resolution temperature measurements. Fine details show a turbulent inner core with more or less laminar streamlines outside it. Whether a front or a bolus, the bore is never observed as a completely closed contour, as swept up turbulent material is sucked into the core at the rear end.     

Decision-making for light rail

In transport literature there is an ongoing discussion on the potential of light rail in mitigating congestion and supporting mobility around urban centres. Throughout Europe and the United States, many policy makers see light rail as an interesting option to improve the accessibility of urban centres. The Dutch national government wanted to support swift light rail realization in a number of promising situations.Several projects gained support from the national government for implementation. However, the decision-making on a local level was not nearly as swift as expected and not in line with the promise. This paper presents an analysis of that perceived slowdown and shows that the approach of the national government with a strict focus on light rail and a detachment from the local processes has played an important role in the slowdown. It shows that light rail can very well be a solid option. However, its successful implementation is not solely dependent on light rail suitability for the mobility patterns in the region, but very much on the approach of the implementation of those supporting the option.     

Modeling travel time reliability of freeways using risk assessment techniques

Travel time reliability is considered to be one of the key indicators for the performance of transport systems and is measured in various ways. This paper synthesizes both reliability concepts: traffic breakdown, the indicator of the instability of travel times, is treated as the risk, whereas travel time variability, the indicator of the uncertainty of travel times, is considered as the consequence of this risk. An analytical formula, using risk assessment technique, explicitly expresses the cost of travel time unreliability as the sum of the products of the consequences (i.e. variability) and the corresponding probabilities of breakdown. It provides a novel measure of travel time reliability and is applicable in network performance evaluations. An empirical example based on a large dataset of freeway traffic flow data from loop detectors shows that the developed travel time reliability measure is both intuitively logical and consistent.     

Russia's waterborne trade and transport: issues in market transformation

During the Soviet era most of the Union's international non-oil trade was transported over water. Following the former Soviet Union's break-up, the share of water transport in accomodating Russia's trade has become modest, as the railways carry most goods that are traded domestically or with the new republics of the Commonwealth of Independence States, which are now treated as foreign countries. Adjusting the Russian Federation's water transport industry and related infrastructure to the changed geo-political and regional economic conditions proves difficult. While the country inherited a fair share of the former Soviet merchant fleet, it is deprived of port assets which were originally built to serve all-Union trades but are now located in other republics of the Commonwealth of Independent States. Major reforms are required to streamline the provision of port services and the ports' commercial performance. The Russian Government took several steps in 1992 which effectively put the national water transport carriers on a commercial footing. The effect has been that many carriers chose to leave the national transport scence and engage in trades which do not include Russia. The Government is now confronted with the need to reduce dependence on foreign-owned vessels and to modernize the national merchant fleet. Difficult policy decisions have to reverse these trends so that national maritime industry asstes become more available to meet the country's needs.     

Causes and effects of FDI by the Norwegian maritime industry

This paper analyses foreign direct investments (FDI) in Asia by the Norwegian maritime industry. It focuses on three topics: (1) Why do Norwegian maritime companies invest abroad? (2) What are the effects of maritime foreign direct investments on the Norwegian maritime milieu? (3) What are the effects of these investments on the host country? By analysing specific Norwegian maritime companies, it was found that the FDIs have partly been induced by the instability of the Norwegian policy towards this sector. Several firms also point at the importance of being closer to the Asian market as a significant reason for FDI, and the Norwegian ship equipment industry tends to 'follow' the shipping companies abroad. The domestic effects of FDI are uncertain, and are likely to depend on the motivation behind the investments. Finally, using Singapore as an example, it is argued that the host country effects of FDI tend to be positive.     

Simplified Analysis of Steady-state Turning Behaviour of Motor Vehicles. Part 1. Handling Diagrams of Simple Systems.

An approximate method is presented which produces a handling diagram useful for the study of steady-state turning behaviour at different values of steer angle, path radius and speed In three successive parts the steady state response of simple and more elaborate vehicle models and the stability of the resulting motion are discussed.