Time-variant ultimate longitudinal strength of corroded bulk carriers

Many bulk carrier losses have been reported of late, and one of the possible causes of such casualties is thought to be the structural failure of aging hulls in rough weather. In aging ships, corrosion and fatigue cracks are the two most important factors affecting structural safety and integrity. This paper uses a set of the time-dependent corrosion wastage models for 23 different member locations/categories of bulk carriers previously developed by the authors, based on the available corrosion measurements for existing large bulk carrier structures. Differences due to the location and corrosion severity of every member type are taken into account. The nominal design corrosion values for the primary members are suggested based on the annualized corrosion rates obtained in the present study. The effect of time-variant corrosion wastage on the ultimate hull girder strength as well as the section moduli is studied. The criteria for repair and maintenance of heavily corroded structural members so as to keep the ultimate longitudinal strength at an acceptable level are discussed. Important insights and conclusions developed are summarized.     

道路交通统计生命价值测算模型及其验证

基于参数服从SB分布的混合Logit 模型进行道路交通统计生命价值的测算研究. 首先，结合意愿选择法和正交实验法设计出行路径选择调查问卷；然后，基于死亡风险系数服从对数正态分布和SB分布的混合Logit 模型，构建统计生命价值测算模型；接着以大连市私家车出行者为调查对象获得调查数据，并利用Monte Carlo 仿真方法进行模型参数标定；最后，对模型进行比较分析，并获得统计生命价值的测算值. 研究结果表明：死亡风险参数服从限制域为(0.0, 0.5)SB分布的混合Logit 模型，精确性更高且更合理；道路交通统计生命价值测算值为 105.76万元，这一结果可以作为道路交通安全项目经济评价的参考数据.     

120阀试验过程的计算机仿真——紧急阀模型及仿真结果

建立了１２０紧急阀和试验台计算仿真模型，仿真了１２０紧急阀在试验台上的试验过程，结果表明：该模型能很好的仿真１２０阀在试验台上紧急阀试验，利用模型预测了试验台管径变化对紧急阀试验性能的影响，计算发现：管径主要影响紧急灵敏度和列车管排气时间。压力表安装位置分析表明：对于气体流速较快工况，测量结果与压力表的位置相关性较大，需要慎性确定压力表位置。该工作为试验台设计、试验规范制定和１２０紧急阀性能改进提     

隧道数字化火灾预警系统的在线量化评估

为检查和评价隧道及地下空间火灾预警系统的实际功能,需要一套可行的在线评估手段。根据近年来国内外全尺寸隧道火灾发展曲线的试验结果,提出隧道火情的定义依据;引用运营隧道内准分布式光纤光栅感温火灾探测器的实测数据,证明运营中隧道报警系统的个性化现象;提出合格的数字化报警系统应存在一个在统计学意义上使漏报率和误报率同时达到期望值的合理阈值取值区间;建议以该区间的尺度作为该系统功能完好性的评估指标;对日常隧道运行温度数据的统计分析可估计合理阈值取值区间的下限,对规定条件下的现场点火试验温度数据分析可估计合理阈值取值区间的上限。在隧道运营期该区间尺度可实时在线自动更新。     

语料记忆在英语教学中的价值辩护与实施策略

外语学习离不开记忆，记忆的形式有多种多样。本文从多角度为语料记忆作价值辩护，阐述它的实施策略及要注意的问题，旨在说明语料记忆是在外语学习环境下提高英语学习效率的重要途径。     

关于一类二阶共轭矩阵方程的解

考虑一类二阶共轭矩阵方程 B*X*AXB+B*X*C+C*XB+D=O 其中，B∈Cp×m，A∈n×n，C∈Cn×m，D∈Cm×m，在A＞O及A≥O，C或B为列满秩阵两种情况 下，此方程可解的充分必要条件，并在有解的情况下，给出了通解的显式表示。     

奇摄动三阶非线性边值问题

利用微分不等式技巧和Volterra型积分算子，研究了三阶非线性奇摄动边值问题εx^(3)=f(t,x,x′,w(ε）x^(3)，ε），g（x′（0），x″（0）=0，x（1）=A，x′（1）=B的存在性及渐近估计。     

企业投标策略

投标策略是企业在工程投标中竞争取胜的关键.此文分析了在工程招投标过程中,投标企业应注意的问题.笔者针对企业投标策略提出相应的看法.     

Prediction of thermal environment via revision of PMV index with body temperature

PMV （Predicted Mean Vote） is a widely used index for evaluating the thermal environment. However, few studies have been conducted to take physiological values directly as evaluating indices. This paper assumes a linear relation between body temperature and both sweating rate and heat produced by shivering, and introduces the linear relation into the human heat balance equation to revise the classic PMV. And the assumption of linear relation is subsequently proved. The revised PMV possesses the same characteristic of dependent heat load as that of the classic one, and moreover it is convenient to be calculated.     

A practical assessment of stated preferences methods

Stated preferences data in the form of rankings, ratings and choices were collected in Santiago and discrete choice models estimated with them. The models were compared in terms of accuracy v/s the cost of obtaining the information and models. All methods produced reasonable but different models and fairly close subjective values of time. In terms of production costs the ranking method was a clear looser although the experimental design was slightly biased against it. Finally, the use of computerised interviews is highly recommended particularly for dealing with low income people.