大跨度公轨两用悬索桥刚度敏感性分析

通过对矢跨比、边跨伸出段长度、中央扣及边跨主缆倾角等因素进行分析,提出重庆郭家沱长江大桥主要刚度影响指标,为方案设计提供依据。     

某装备结构动态特性分析

利用试验模态分析法获得了某机枪结构的模态参数,分析了机枪的动态特性,并通过基于模态试验的灵敏度分析方法,获得了影响该机枪动态特性的敏感部位,为改善机枪动态特性提供了依据.     

基于IACS共同规范的油船极限强度及敏感性分析

基于IACS共同规范研制了双壳油船总纵极限强度的计算程序,计算了一个箱形梁模型和两条油船的总纵极限强度,计算结果表明本文研制开发的计算程序是正确可靠的,可供油船船体结构设计参考和使用。本文还对影响船体梁极限强度的参数进行了敏感性的简要探讨,得出有用的结论。     

A stated preference examination of time of travel choice for a recreational trip

A stated preference experiment was performed in Calgary in Canada to examine how people are influenced in the selection of a departure time for a hypothetical trip to see a movie. A total of 635 complete observations were obtained. In each observation the respondent was presented with a set of possible departure time scenarios and asked to indicate the order of preference for these scenarios. Each scenario was described by specifying the automobile travel time, the expected arrival time relative to the movie start time, the parking cost, the probability of being at least ten minutes late for the movie and the length of time the movie had been running. This forced the respondent to trade off between conditions regarding these attributes. Age, gender and frequency of movie attendance were also recorded. The observations thus obtained were used to estimate the parameter values for a range of alternative utility functions in logit models representing this choice behaviour. The results indicate that all of the attributes included have significant effects on departure time choice in the situation being considered. They also indicate that travellers are prepared to arrive roughly two minutes early for each minute of travel time saved; that the money value of driving time for trips to recreational activities is about half that for trips to work; that one additional percent in the probability of arriving late is equivalent to roughly 0.20 Canadian dollars or 1.93 minutes drive time; and that there is a preference for a non-zero expected early arrival time regardless of the associated probability of arriving late. Some of these results are novel and others are consistent with findings for work trips in work done by others, which is seen to add credence to the approach being used here.     

潜艇操纵面几何参数敏感性计算研究

以潜艇垂直面操纵运动线性运动方程为基础,以反映潜艇垂直面操纵性特征的典型技术指标为评价体系,提出了潜艇操纵面几何参数敏感性概念,采用敏感性指数作为评估操纵面参数对潜艇垂直面操纵性影响的指标.在主艇体参数固定条件下,为潜艇设计了系列参数的首尾操纵面,采用Bohlman的水动力估算方法,估算了该艇的线性水动力系数.在水动力估算和敏感性概念的基础上,开展了大量的敏感性计算,分析计算结果得到了潜艇首尾操纵面几何参数不影响潜艇逆速,尾操纵面对首舵升速率有很强影响等结论.     

ZPW-2000A型无绝缘移频轨道电路补偿方案研究

在现场的应用中,ZPW-2000A型无绝缘移频轨道电路在安全性和可靠性方面有着显著优势,但其分路特性的改善是需要关注的问题。采用电平衰耗法的计算方法,对无补偿电容、有补偿电容和有最佳补偿电容时的无绝缘轨道电路的分路特性进行分析,并用Matlab软件仿真得到轨面各点的分路灵敏度和分路残压比较结果。结果表明,补偿电容对轨道电路的分路特性有明显的改善作用,而找到最佳补偿电容值对轨道电路进行补偿,不但能同时保证轨道电路全程可靠分路,并且降低了分路残压,使得无绝缘轨道电路的分路特性更稳定。     

Economic Viability of Mega-size Containership in Different Service Networks

The mega-size containership viability was analyzed by considering different service networks for different ship sizes: hub-and-spoke and multi-port-calling (MPC) networks for mega-size containerships and conventional ships. A model was proposed, which quantifies the economies of scale in operating large con- tainerships and constructs models for ship routing under different service networks. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to test the effect of feeder costs and the results analyzed to determine optimal containership size with respect to different operational scenarios. Throughout model applications for Asia-Europe and Asia-North America trades, the mega-size containership is competitive in all scenarios for Asia-Europe, while it is viable for Asia-North America only when the feeder costs are low.     

Assessment of the influence of the elastic properties of rail vehicle suspensions on safety,ride quality and track fatigue

A sensitivity analysis has been performed to assess the influence of the elastic properties of railway vehicle suspensions on the vehicle dynamic behaviour. To do this, 144 dynamic simulations were performed modifying, one at a time, the stiffness and damping coefficients, of the primary and secondary suspensions. Three values were assigned to each parameter, corresponding to the percentiles 10, 50 and 90 of a data set stored in a database of railway vehicles. After processing the results of these simulations, the analysed parameters were sorted by increasing influence. It was also found which of these parameters could be estimated with a lesser degree of accuracy in future simulations without appreciably affecting the simulation results. In general terms, it was concluded that the highest influences were found for the longitudinal stiffness and the lateral stiffness of the primary suspension, and the lowest influences for the vertical stiffness and the vertical damping of the primary suspension, with the parameters of the secondary suspension showing intermediate influences between them.     

大跨径斜拉拱桥结构受力的敏感性分析

斜拉拱桥是一种多变量结构体系,各设计参数影响结构受力且参数的不同取值对结构的安全性影响存在较大差异。湘潭市湘江四大桥主桥(120 400 120)m斜拉钢管混凝土飞燕式拱桥的参数敏感性分析结果表明,主拱轴线偏差、钢管内混凝土的收缩徐变等对结构的影响较大。     

吕梁机场工程黄土边坡的敏感性分析

以山西省吕梁机场黄土边坡工程为例,通过分析导致黄土边坡发生滑坡的影响因素,确定黄土地区机场高边坡的敏感性因素,根据正交试验设计方法,利用理正边坡计算软件,采用简化Bishop法对正交试验设计方案进行安全系数的计算,得到了这些敏感性因素对黄土边坡的影响显著性,所得结果对机场黄土边坡失稳的预测与防治具有重要的意义。