从屡发船撞桥事故中反思对技术决策的二点浅见

针对我国通航的河流上,船撞桥这一恶性事故的不断发生,不能不引起人们反思。为此,该文对有关单位在技术决策上、设计理念上、通航孔的标准等级上、防护管理上提出一些建议,望能引起有关高层决策上的重视,及时采取有效措施,促使类似事件减少、减轻、甚至达到避免灾难的发生,真正贯彻,"以人为本"为核心的科学发展观,统筹兼顾地落到实处。     

基于AHP的模糊综合评判对上海内河水域船舶航行安全的风险评估

针对目前上海内河水域的水上交通安全状况,从系统工程角度,分别从人为因素、硬件装备、软件条件和外部环境四个方面,利用层次分析法(AHP法)建立起评估模型。并运用基于AHP法的模糊综合评判原理对上海内河水域船舶航行安全风险进行了综合评估,得到了比较科学的评估结论。以此为地方海事部门制定科学合理的发展战略提供重要依据和决策支持,并制订和完善船舶航行安全的对策和措施,最大程度地减少船舶航行事故的发生。     

2011年世界船舶市场评述与未来展望

在"增长放缓、风险增大"的2011年全球经济环境下,世界航运市场受"运力投放无休、运营成本增加"的影响而表现为"低迷不振"。新船的不断交付也使世界商船队年轻化势不可挡。新船建造市场同比有所下滑,液货船和散货船表现不佳,集装箱船和海工市场表现较好,新船价格呈现小幅下调趋势。预计2012年世界船市在三大主力船型上仍不容乐观,海工市场继续有尚佳表现。     

A citation network analysis of sustainability development in liner shipping management: a review of the literature and policy implications

ABSTRACT

Based on an analysis of 253 related papers drawn from the Web of Science database, this study examines holistic sustainability research in liner shipping management literature using a citation network analysis (CNA) approach followed by a qualitative analysis of findings. We identify four major research domains, namely shipping performance, port selection and management, shipping markets, and environment, as well as related sub-domains of shipping performance. We discuss the current research trends and focal issues in these domains with a focus on their implications for policy development. Our results indicate that while the sustainability discourse in the literature has developed and matured significantly over the last decade, generating valuable insights for practitioners and regulators alike, it still struggles with blurry terminology and a lack of holistic frameworks jointly addressing the different aspects of sustainability: Economic considerations of liner shipping are still the main concern, while environmental and social issues are less regarded in the academic discourse. Furthermore, we identify a dearth of studies rooted in managerial or economic theory. In this regard, our study provides insights on the scope of the holistic sustainability discourse in liner shipping management, its contributions to theory and practice, and its implications for the further development of policies addressing sustainability in liner shipping management. We advocate further construct development for sustainability in liner shipping, as well as empirical tests of the antecedents of sustainability practice adoption in the industry for future research.     

环境可持续集装箱班轮运输管理研究综述

集装箱班轮运输业如何在追求成本经济性和服务可靠性的同时做好环境可持续性，对航 运企业、港口运营商以及政府组织都提出了新的挑战。围绕集装箱班轮运输在环境层面实现可 持续发展的目标，本文分别从战略、战术和运营等3个层面就措施、技术和规章制度等所做的研究 进行文献综述、分析发展趋势。战略层面，从市场减排机制和政策的制定、绿色政策、技术及措施 评估和企业竞争与合作等3个方面综述；战术层面，从控制油耗或碳排放的班轮运营优化、预调度 式的绿色班轮运营优化和污染排放控制区的设立对班轮运营优化的影响等3个方面综述；在运营 层面，从控制排放的集装箱调运和反应式的绿色班轮运营优化等两方面综述。按照决策水平、时 间脉络和研究主题分析后发现，该领域的研究趋势变化与行业及政府的环境政策紧密关联。其 次，从决策水平和问题类别来看，针对战术层决策的研究远多于针对战略和执行两层。第三，从 决策主体来看，大部分研究以航运公司作为单独的决策主体。本文建议：继续在优化班轮运输中 考虑多目标，将多目标优化作为决策手段可兼顾经济、环境以及社会责任，有利于航运可持续发 展；结合行业实践提炼科学问题，国际航运、尤其班轮运输极易受到政策导向、世界经济环境的影 响；从供应链角度研究集装箱班轮运输的可持续发展问题；为配合在运营层面的努力，还要研究 通过技术途径或手段推动班轮运输业可持续发展；借鉴其他运输行业较为成熟的绿色环保发展 思路促进班轮运输环境可持续发展。     

关于中小企业贷款难之解困探讨

针对我国中小企业长期以来存在贷款难的现实情况,研究剖析了目前中小企业贷款难的存在问题及其原因,并就如何破解中小企业贷款难以致严重影响企业的生存和发展壮大这一瓶颈做出了一些探讨。     

Structural relationships among shipper’s perception,value, and choice intention of Korea–China train ferry service

ABSTRACT

The logistics environment between China and Korea has been changing rapidly in line with the ‘Go West’ policy of international trade and logistics area. The policy includes the BRI, Western Development Strategy, and Korea–China FTA. Against this background, the Korea–China train ferry (KCTF) is being newly illuminated as an alternative mode to cope with the logistics environment between Korea and China. One of the key success factors of the KCTF depends on, among others, shippers’ perception, which will affect the choice and the successful operation of the KCTF. From this perspective, this paper develops seven hypotheses based on the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA) and Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). We test these hypotheses using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to explore the structural relationship between shippers’ behavioral beliefs influencing the perceived usefulness, the attitude toward and intention to choose the KCTF. The test results confirm that among the behavioral beliefs, transport accessibility in association with an efficient network of inland roads and railway networks is an important prerequisite. In addition, we verified a high statistical significance in the structural relationships among perceived usefulness, the attitude toward and the intention to choose the KCTF.     

展望我国港口航运业的未来发展

文中分析和展望了当前我国国内港口航运业所面临的形势和未来的发展方向,提出了交通运输主管部门可采取的措施。     

基于SWOT分析法的川江滚装船的发展战略研究

本文采用SWOT法从优势、劣势、机会和威胁四个方面对川江滚装船在综合运输系统的地位进行定位，并从政府主管机关、行业中介组织、市场主体船东自律与潜力挖掘三方面提出一些建议。     

国际航运投资决策研究综述

分析了30年来国内外国际航运投资决策问题，认为对国际航运传统的或经典的投资决策方法的研究比较成熟，将定性评价转化为定量评价的投资决策方法的研究有所进行，但基于期权的投资决策方法的研究尚未进行。为此，阐述了这一领域未来的研究重点与前沿问题。