Exploring the impact of walk–bike infrastructure,safety perception,and built-environment on active transportation mode choice: a random parameter model using New York City commuter data

This study estimates a random parameter (mixed) logit model for active transportation (walk and bicycle) choices for work trips in the New York City (using 2010–2011 Regional Household Travel Survey Data). We explored the effects of traffic safety, walk–bike network facilities, and land use attributes on walk and bicycle mode choice decision in the New York City for home-to-work commute. Applying the flexible econometric structure of random parameter models, we capture the heterogeneity in the decision making process and simulate scenarios considering improvement in walk–bike infrastructure such as sidewalk width and length of bike lane. Our results indicate that increasing sidewalk width, total length of bike lane, and proportion of protected bike lane will increase the likelihood of more people taking active transportation mode This suggests that the local authorities and planning agencies to invest more on building and maintaining the infrastructure for pedestrians. Further, improvement in traffic safety by reducing traffic crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists, will increase the likelihood of taking active transportation modes. Our results also show positive correlation between number of non-motorized trips by the other family members and the likelihood to choose active transportation mode. The model would be an essential tool to estimate the impact of improving traffic safety and walk–bike infrastructure which will assist in investment decision making.     

Finite element modeling of suction anchors under combined loading

Suction anchors are subjected to inclined, quasi-horizontal or quasi-vertical loadings. The type of the structure and depth of water govern the inclination of the load. Under this load condition, suction anchor experiences a combination of horizontal and vertical translations, and rotation. Therefore the soil's reaction to this load condition can be idealized as horizontal and vertical loadings, together with a moment. The magnitude and combination of the reactions depend on the load inclination, soil property and the point at which the load is applied. The behavior of the suction anchor subjected to the combined V–H-M loading is elaborated in this paper. This is to observe the effects of soil properties on the failure mechanism and ultimate capacity of the foundation. This was achieved by applying the pure horizontal and vertical displacements, and rotation and their combinations to the foundation, on V–H, V-M and H-M spaces and the yield-locus created for each space. The general purpose finite element program DIANA was used for this study. Non-linear analysis was conducted using a simplified elastic-perfectly-plastic model with Von-Mises yield criterion for saturated and consolidated clay.     

Motorcycle fatalities in Malaysia

Malaysia has the highest road fatality risk (per 100,000 population) among the ASEAN countries and more than 50% of the road accident fatalities involve motorcyclists. This study has collected and analysed data from the police, government authorities, and national and international research institutes. Only fatality data are used due to the severe underreporting of severe injuries (up to 600%) and slight injuries (up to 1400%). The analysis reveals that the highest numbers of motorcycle fatalities occur in rural locations (61%), on primary roads (62%) and on straight road sections (66%). The majority are riders (89%), 16 to 20 years old (22.5%), and 90% of the motorcycles are privately owned. Of those involved in fatal accidents, 75% of the motorcyclists wear helmets, and 35% do not have proper licences. The highest number of fatalities by type of collision is ‘angular or side’ (27.5%). Although fatal motorcyclist crashes mostly involve ‘passenger cars’ (28%), motorcyclists are responsible for 50% of the collisions either by crashing singly (25%) or with other motorcyclists (25%). While male motorcyclists predominate (94% of fatalities), female motorcyclists aged 31 to 70, possessing ‘no licence’, not wearing helmets and travelling during the day, account for a higher percentage than male motorcyclists. Malaysia must acquire more motorcycle exposure data and establish an injury recording system and database based on hospital-records. To reduce motorcycle fatalities, it first has to understand why young male motorcyclists are prone to fatal crashes in the evenings and on weekends on rural primary roads, especially on straight road sections.     

A statistical analysis of consumer perceptions towards automated vehicles and their intended adoption

ABSTRACT

While automated vehicle (AV) development continues to progress rapidly, how the public will accept and adopt automated vehicles remains an open question. Using extensive survey data, we apply cluster analysis to better understand consumer perceptions toward potential benefits and concerns related to AVs with regard to factors influencing their AV adoption likelihood. Four market segments are identified – ‘benefits-dominated,’ ‘concerns-dominated,’ ‘uncertain,’ and ‘well-informed.’ A random parameters multinomial logit model is then estimated to identify factors influencing the probability of respondents belonging to one of these four market segments. Among other influences (such as socio-economic and current travel characteristics), it is found that ‘Millennials’ have a higher probability of belonging to the well-informed market segment, ‘Gen-Xers’ with a lower probability to the uncertain market segment, and ‘Baby Boomers’ with a higher probability to the concerns-dominated market (relative to the ‘Great Generation’). We also study the individuals’ expressed likelihood of AV adoption using separate random parameters ordered probit estimations for each of the four market segments. The substantial and statistically significant differences across each AV consumer market segment underscore the potentially large impact that different consumer demographics may have on AV adoption and the need for targeted marketing to achieve better market-penetration outcomes.     

Satellite-Based Offshore Wind Energy Resource Mapping in Malaysia

Journal of Marine Science and Application - Development and application of offshore wind turbine farms have been increasing, particularly in the developed countries, because of their high power...     

Experimental Study on Volume Change Indices of Bentonite Soils

Introduction Bentonites are used as barrier and backfillingmaterials in many countries for storing the high leveltoxic wastes[1-4]. The clays have several advantageousproperties with regard to the hydro-mechanical re-quirements; for exmple, low permeability, highswelling capability and good thermal conductivity aresome of the features. Determination of swelling prop-erties of bentonites is important and has been carriedout by many researchers[5,6]The volume change behavior of bentonites ispri…     

The relationship between urban street networks and private motorized trips at the city level

There are factors that impact car usage in urban areas, such as density, diversity and design, but there have been few studies that examine the relationship between street network factors and car usage at the city level (macro level). This paper focuses on this relationship by introducing urban street network variables, such as blocks per area, nodes per block and length of roads and motorways, as independent variables and the percentage of daily trips by private motorized modes as the dependent variable. The street network in this study includes interconnecting lines and points that present streets, roads, motorways, intersections and blocks. The strength of the relationship in this study is found using multiple linear regression. The findings of this research indicate that an increase in car usage is correlated with an increasing number of blocks per area, number of nodes per block and length of motorways. In addition, because the urban street network is the result of macro-scale planning decisions, considering this relationship can lead to better planning decisions.     

铁路行车事故救援理论与技术体系探讨

目前对铁路行车事故救援的研究众多，但均停留于救援装备、事故分析、技术方法的层面上。而未能从系统机理、救援原理、体系结构的角度对其研究内容及研究框架予以界定。针对上述问题，本文沿着救援体系规划、救援管理、救援实施这一纵向思维轴，系统地构建了铁路行车事故救援的研究体系，并将其划分为理论体系、技术体系及管理实施体系，并在此基础上对各子体系间相互关系及各体系的具体研究内容与框架结构进行了分析确定，从而从空间架构上形成铁路行车事故救援研究体系。该体系的建立为我国铁路现场事故救援体系的规划、设计、管理与实施提供参考与依据。     

LARGE SIGNAL DISCRETE-TIME MODEL FOR PARALLELED BUCK CONVERTERS

Introduction　　 In recent years,due to the rapid advances ofcomputer and communication,the power suppliesmust provide high current up to hundreds of am-peres and still have high efficiency and reliability.Under such requirements,multimodule- parallelingstructure is usually used and the load current isequally shared. The practical implementation ofthese distributed converters system is not alwaysstraightforward and various control problems arisebecause of undesirable interaction among subsys-t…     

A copula-based joint multinomial discrete–continuous model of vehicle type choice and miles of travel

In this paper, a joint model of vehicle type choice and utilization is formulated and estimated on a data set of vehicles drawn from the 2000 San Francisco Bay Area Travel Survey. The joint discrete–continuous model system formulated in this study explicitly accounts for common unobserved factors that may affect the choice and utilization of a certain vehicle type (i.e., self-selection effects). A new copula-based methodology is adopted to facilitate model estimation without imposing restrictive distribution assumptions on the dependency structures between the errors in the discrete and continuous choice components. The copula-based methodology is found to provide statistically superior goodness-of-fit when compared with previous estimation approaches for joint discrete–continuous model systems. The model system, when applied to simulate the impacts of a doubling in fuel price, shows that individuals are more likely to shift vehicle type choices than vehicle usage patterns.