| 台湾海峡及附近水域海难事故的灰色关联分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐国裕,张运杰,吴兆麟.台湾海峡及附近水域海难事故的灰色关联分析[J].中国航海,2007(1):25-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐国裕 张运杰 吴兆麟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 高雄港引航协会,台湾,高雄,804
2. 大连海事大学,辽宁,大连,116026 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色关联系统分别分析了所有船舶和300 gt及以上的船舶在台湾海峡及附近水域中发生的海难事故,并对碰撞、触礁或搁浅、触碰、失火或爆炸、机械故障、倾斜或倾覆等六类海难事故,进行了灰色关联矩阵运算及分析。分析结果表明该水域海难事故以300 gt以下的小船所占比率较高,同时该水域海难事故类型以机械故障具较高关联性;当排除300 gt以下的船舶后,该水域海难事故类型则以碰撞具较高关联性。
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| 关 键 词： | 水路运输 海难事故 灰色关联分析 航行安全 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-4653（2007）01-0025-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-11-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年11月18 |
Analysis of Marine Casualties in Taiwan Strait and Nearby Waters with Grey Relational System |
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| XU Guo-yu,ZHANG Yan-jie,WU Zhao-lin.Analysis of Marine Casualties in Taiwan Strait and Nearby Waters with Grey Relational System[J].Navigation of China,2007(1):25-28. |
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| Authors: | XU Guo-yu ZHANG Yan-jie WU Zhao-lin |
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| Institution: | 1. Gaoxiong Harbour Pilot Association, Gaoxiong 804, China ; 2. Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, 116026, China |
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| Abstract: | By applying gray relational system the marine casualties of all the ships and ships of over 300 gt in Taiwan straits and nearby waters are analyzed,the analysis calculation of grey relational matrix is carried out for six categories of accidents,i.e.collision,stranding/grounding,contact,fire/explosion,machinery trouble and list/capsize.The results of analysis indicate that the casualties of the ships less than 300 gt account for a higher proportion of accidents,mechanical trouble have a higher degree of correlation with accidents,and collisions have a higher degree of correlation with the accidents of the ships more than 300 gt. |
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| Keywords: | Waterway transportation Marine casualty Gray relational analysis Navigation safety |
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