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为了提高船舶运动极短期预报精度及预报时间长度,本文采用小波多分辨率分析方法,将含有噪声的船舶运动信号进行了多尺度小波变换,通过采用阈值函数法对各尺度下细节信号的小波系数进行处理,对小波分解层数、小波基函数、阈值处理方法进行了深入研究,并通过模型试验数据对滤波效果进行了验证分析,实现了船舶运动信号的小波滤波.进一步针对船舶运动的非线性特性,基于深度神经网络的非线性映射能力,建立了基于LSTM网络的多步直接映射船舶运动极短期预报模型,并采用滤波后的船舶运动数据进行了不同工况下的预报分析.结果表明,不同时间长度的预报与试验结果幅值和相位吻合较好,验证了所建立的极短期预报模型的可行性. 相似文献
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《船舶力学》2020,(6)
船舶横摇运动预报对于船舶安全与作业非常重要。本文应用固定网格小波神经网络在线预报不规则波中的船舶横摇运动。该固定网格小波神经网络由离散的小波激活函数组成,其结构和参数可以基于滑动数据窗在线调整;在每一个滑动数据窗,误差下降比判据被用来从小波函数库中选择重要的小波函数项来构建小波神经网络模型,直到该模型可以较好地表达所研究的非线性系统,获得的模型一般比较简洁。预报结果表明,仅仅几个小波函数项就可以很好地捕捉到不规则波中船舶横摇运动的非线性动力学内在特性,这不仅展示了小波函数很强的非线性表达能力,也证实了所采用的建模方法对于预报船舶在不规则波中的横摇运动的有效性。 相似文献
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基于小波网的船舶运动极短期建模预报 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
本文结合小波分析和神经网络的优点,建立了应用于船舶运动极限期模预报的小波神经网络的结构及算法,给出了该算法的一步及多步预报模型,并进行了仿真,仿真结果说明该算法是可行的。 相似文献
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为了提高船舶的耐波性和适航性、对船舶横摇进行有效准确预报,提出了将灰色系统理论和神经网络进行有机结合的二阶灰色神经网络预报模型。介绍了二阶灰色预报模型,采用神经网络映射的办法构建灰色神经网络预报模型,并介绍了神经网络学习机制。另外,以某舰船横摇运动时间序列预报为例对模型进行仿真验证,有效改善了二阶灰色模型较大的预报偏差。仿真结果表明,GNNM(2,1)模型能准确预报船舶横摇运动,具有更高的预报精度和更好的数据稳定性。 相似文献
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传统的船舶横向运动短期姿态预报数学模型存在着预报性能低的缺陷,为此提出船舶横向运动短期姿态预报数学建模可行性研究。采用平均滤除法对船舶横向运动数据中的不良数据进行去除,完成船舶横向运动数据准备,将得到的船舶横向运动数据进行归一化处理,适应预报函数的需求,将得到的归一化的船舶横向运动数据输入到BP神经网络算法中完成船舶横向运动短期姿态的预报,实现了船舶横向运动短期姿态预报数学模型的建立。通过实验得到,构建的船舶横向运动短期姿态预报数学模型预报误差比传统模型低了21.41%,预报时间比传统模型高出3.25 s,充分说明构建的船舶横向运动短期姿态预报数学模型具备良好的可行性与预报性能。 相似文献
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针对船舶姿态预报精度的难题,结合船舶姿态变化特点,提出基于改进神经网络方法的船舶姿态高精度预报模型,首先对船舶姿态的数据进行采集,并对船舶姿态数据进行去噪处理,然后采用神经网络对船舶姿态变化特点进行高精度逼近,并对神经网络存在的一些缺陷进行相应的改进,最后进行船舶姿态预报的仿真实验。实验结果表明,改进神经网络提高了船舶姿态预报精度,克服了当前其它船舶姿态预报模型存在误差大的弊端,船舶姿态效果优势十分明显。 相似文献
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LUShu-ping YANGXue-jing ZHAOXi-ren 《船舶与海洋工程学报》2004,3(1):20-23
As there are lots of non-linear systems in the real engineering, it is very important to do more researches on the modeling and prediction of non-llnear systems. Based on the muhi-resolution analysis (MRA) of wavelet theory, this paper combined the wavelet theory with neural network and established a MRA wavelet network with the scaling function and wavelet function as its neurons. From the analysis in the frequency domain, the results indicated that MRA wavelet network was better than other wavelet networks in the ability of approaching to the signals. An essential research was carried out on modeling and prediction with MRA wavelet network in the non-linear system. Using the lengthwise sway data received from the experiment of ship model, a model of offline prediction was estab lished and was applied to the short-time prediction of ship motion. The simulation results indicated that the forecasting model improved the prediction precision effectively, lengthened the forecasting time and had a better prediction results than that of AR linear model. The research indicates that it is feasible to use the MRA wavelet network in the short -time prediction of ship motion. 相似文献
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The design of the neural network model and its adaptive wavelets (wavelet networks and wavenets) was used to estimate the wave-induced hydrodynamic inline force acting on a vertical cylinder. The data used to calibrate and validate the models were obtained from an experiment. In the brain, wavelet neural networks (WNNs) use wavelets to activate their hidden layers of neurons. In WNNs, both the position and dilation of the wavelets are optimized along with the weights. In one special approach to this kind of network construction, the position and dilation of the wavelets are fixed and only the weights of the network are optimized. In the present study, the neural network procedure and the above mentioned approach were employed to design a WNN, a so-called wavenet, using feed-forward neural network topology and its training method. Then, a comparison of these two methods was made. Numerical results demonstrate that both networks are capable of predicting hydrodynamic inline force. Furthermore, the combination of the neural network concept and the wavelet theory i.e. wavenet provides a more robust tool rather than standard feed-forward neural network, considering its more appropriate ability to predict any other data which the network had not experienced before. The results of this study can contribute to reducing the errors in future efforts to predict hydrodynamic inline force using WNNs, and thus improve the reliability of that prediction in comparison to the ANN and other methods. Therefore, this method can be applied to relevant engineering projects with satisfactory results. 相似文献
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为提高船舶交通流量预测精度,提出一种季节性自回归移动平均(Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average,SARIMA)模型和BP神经网络的误差校正集成模型。以深圳港2011—2017年的数据为研究样本,对原始数据进行预处理,构建最优SARIMA模型,以该模型求出的残差序列作为BP神经网络的输入,将两个模型预测结果进行整合,得到集成模型的预测结果。试验结果表明:该误差校正集成模型与两个单一模型相比,体现出船舶交通流量数据的季节性特征,具有较好的预测精度,为港口船舶交通流量预测提供一种更为有效的方法。 相似文献
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神经网络在船舶操纵中的应用研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
该文对人工神经网络用于船舶操纵动态特性的在线学习进行了研究,并提出了基于神经网络预报的操舵控制算法。仿真试验的结果表明了该控制算法的有效性。 相似文献
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Vishwanath Nagarajan Dong-Hoon Kang Kazuhiko Hasegawa Kenjiro Nabeshima Toshihiko Arii 《Journal of Marine Science and Technology》2009,14(3):296-309
The influence of a rudder’s axial force on the prediction of full-scale powering performance of a ship is investigated in
this paper. Axial force characteristics of different rudder types were investigated by open water experiments. Viscous scale
effects on the rudder’s axial force were investigated by carrying out open water experiments with different sizes of rudder.
Experiments were carried out in the towing tank for a model ship fitted with different rudder systems to investigate the influence
of rudder’s axial force on full-scale propulsion performance prediction. Based on the experiment results, a new prediction
method is proposed for estimating full-scale power that considers scale effect on rudder’s axial force. Good performance of
the proposed prediction method is demonstrated by estimating the engine power of a ship installed with a special high lift
twin-rudder system from model experiments and comparing it with the values measured on the ship during full-scale experiments. 相似文献
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针对船舶轨迹预测精确性与实时性的需求,从数据层面探究影响船舶航行轨迹的特征,通过相关性分析确定网络的输入,提出结合循环神经网络-长短期记忆(Recurrent Neural Networks - Long Short Term Memory,RNN-LSTM)的船舶航行轨迹预测模型。通过船舶Z形试验相关数据与实船实际航行数据对网络模型进行训练,并对未来船舶航行轨迹进行预测。对未来轨迹的预测值与实际值进行对比。结果表明,模型预测误差小,验证该方案在船舶轨迹预测中的实用性和有效性。 相似文献