锚泊时船舶放链长度的确定及其实用图表

本文给出了船舶锚泊时所受到的风作用力、水作用力和放出锚链长度的计算公式,以及实用数表和曲线图,可供查取。数表和曲线是根据文中确定的如下关系式编绘:L_b≈1/2Ln;L≈1.5L。(其中L_b——卧底锚链长度;L_n——悬垂锚链长度;L——放出锚链总长度)。十一例实船计算表明,根据上式计算结果,与目前国内外通用的方法确定的放链长度相符。利用这些数表和曲线图,既可合理地确定不同海况下船舶所应放出的锚链长度,也可减少起锚时的功率消耗和缩短起锚时间。     

Modeling household interactions in daily in-home and out-of-home maintenance activity participation

The activity travel patterns of individuals in a household are inter-related, and the realistic modeling of activity-travel behavior requires that these interdependencies be explicitly accommodated. This paper examines household interactions impacting weekday in-home and out-of-home maintenance activity generation in active, nuclear family, households. The in-home maintenance activity generation is modeled by examining the duration invested by the male and female household heads in household chores using a seemingly unrelated regression modeling system. The out-of-home maintenance activity generation is modeled in terms of the decision of the household to undertake shopping, allocation of the task to one or both household heads, and the duration of shopping for the person(s) allocated the responsibility. A joint mixed-logit hazard-duration model structure is developed and applied to the modeling of out-of-home maintenance activity generation. The results indicate that traditional gender roles continue to exist and, in particular, non-working women are more likely to share a large burden of the household maintenance tasks. The model for out-of-home maintenance activity generation indicates that joint activity participation in the case of shopping is motivated by resource (automobiles) constraints. Finally, women who have a higher propensity to shop are also found to be inherently more efficient shoppers.     

造船供应链合作利益分配协商机制研究

造船供应链合作利益分配过程是个群体协商过程.文章基于供应链节点企业间风险共担、利益共享的合作特点,分析了利益分配应遵循的原则.并充分考虑各节点企业的投资额、承担的风险及分配方案满意度,应用不对称Nash谈判模型设计了造船供应链合作利益分配的协商机制.     

MEAN SHIFT尺寸链在某车型尾灯优化中的应用

尾灯板的结构形式直接影响尾灯匹配,为了减少尾灯定位孔尺寸链,文章提出了一种考虑MEANSHIFT的尺寸链分析方法,在设计前期对尾灯板结构进行优化。以某车型尾灯板结构优化为例,通过尾灯安装定位孔位置分析出该设计存在的风险,针对风险,提出调整定位孔位置的解决办法,使新结构尾灯孔偏差低于原结构,通过现场验证,证明该方法可行。     

水下系统布置方案研究

水下开发项目中,水下系统布置方案的选择不但关系到整个水下开发的资本性支出,而且对后期的投产使用的运营也有显著影响。该文针对南海某水下项目水下布置方案进行了研究和分析,并主要介绍了各种布置方案的优缺点和对后续运营的影响。     

浅析系船浮筒锚链的静力计算问题

采用静力计算方法对浮筒系泊系统的悬链进行研究,针对单锚链和多锚链系统进行受力分析,提出适用于单锚链和多锚链的简化计算公式,并根据实际工程案例进行简化计算公式的验证,可为类似工程的受力分析和计算提供参考。     

基于关键链技术在装备维修项目进度管理中的应用研究

根据装备维修工程进度管理的现状,分析传统的关键路径技术(CPM)方法的主要问题,总结计划进度管理方法的优缺点,提出将考虑资源约束的进度管理方法-关键链技术应用于装备维修工程进度管控,运用约束理论和缓冲优化方法对具体工程项目进行进度计划调整与修理工期优化,并通过和CPM方法结果的比较分析,得出关键链技术可以更科学合理制定装备维修项目进度计划并达到优化修期的目的,为装备维修进度管理提供理论与实践参考。     

Analysis of telecommuting behavior and impacts on travel demand and the environment

The discussion of whether, and to what extent, telecommuting can curb congestion in urban areas has spanned more than three decades. This study develops an integrated framework to provide the empirical evidence of the potential impacts of home-based telecommuting on travel behavior, network congestion, and air quality. In the first step, we estimate a telecommuting adoption model using a zero-inflated hierarchical ordered probit model to determine the factors associated with workers’ propensity to adopt telecommuting. Second, we implement the estimated model in the POLARIS activity-based framework to simulate the potential changes in workers’ activity-travel patterns and network congestion. Third, the MOVES mobile source emission simulator and Autonomie vehicle energy simulator are used to estimate the potential changes in vehicular emissions and fuel use in the network as a result of this policy. Different policy adoption scenarios are then tested in the proposed integrated platform. We found that compared to the current baseline situation where almost 12% of workers in Chicago region have flexible working time schedule, in the case when 50% of workers have flexible working time, telecommuting can reduce total daily vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and vehicle hours traveled (VHT) up to 0.69% and 2.09%, respectively. Considering the same comparison settings, this policy has the potential to reduce greenhouse gas and particulate matter emissions by up to 0.71% and 1.14%, respectively. In summary, our results endorse the fact that telecommuting policy has the potential to reduce network congestion and vehicular emissions specifically during rush hours.     

交通可达性与城市经济活动的空间特征分析：以北京市为例

借助开源大数据平台，提出交通可达性及城市经济活动数据采集策略，利用全局常参数和局部变参数回归模型研究北京市六环区域内两者的空间特征.相比于全局模型，局部模型能够较好地刻画交通可达性与城市经济活动间的空间异质性特征.结果表明，私人交通可达性呈现以天安门为中心径向递减的多圈层结构，公共交通呈现轨道交通沿线区域高的特点.交通可达性与经济活动匹配度具有空间非平稳性，空间分离和匹配现象并存.西北部、中部区域空间匹配特征显著，东北部、东部区域次之，西南区域空间分离现象最为严重.丰台及良乡等分离区域，宜重视道路及轨道线网等基础设施建设工作；未来科学城等私人交通匹配，公共交通分离的区域，可考虑修建轨道线路，并增加公交运营服务水平；中关村科学城、北京经济技术开发区等匹配区域，以调整交通运营管理政策为主.     

CD_3 McAb联合rhIL-2激活的骨髓对白血病细胞杀伤净化作用的研究

目的　探讨CD3单克隆抗体 (CD3McAb)联合重组人白细胞介素 2 (rhIL 2 )激活的骨髓对白血病细胞的杀伤及净化作用。方法　用MTT法检测激活骨髓的细胞毒作用 ;半固体集落培养法观察激活骨髓CFU GM水平和对白血病细胞的净化作用 ;采用间接荧光法测定激活骨髓的免疫标记。结果　CD3McAb与rhIL 2联合激活的骨髓对白血病细胞株K5 6 2、HL 6 0均有明显的杀伤净化作用 ,且优于rhIL 2或CD3McAb单用组 (P <0 .0 5或P <0 .0 1)。rhIL 2和 (或 )CD3McAb对激活骨髓的CFU GM水平无明显影响。CD3McAb +rhIL 2激活的骨髓 ,与活化前及rhIL 2或CD3McAb组相比 ,CD3+ 、CD8+ 、CD1 9+ 、CD2 5+ 、CD38+ 、CD56+ 细胞显著升高。结论　CD3McAb能增强rhIL 2激活的骨髓对白血病细胞的杀伤及净化作用