“十三五”时期我国综合交通投资和运输形势分析

以综合交通运输行业发展中的建设投资、路网设施、旅客运输、货物运输方面统计数据指标为基础,通过分析总量指标在“十三五”时期的绝对值、增速,以及各交通运输方式结构指标变化情况,并与“十二五”时期相关指标变化进行对比分析,总结了“十三五”时期的综合交通建设投资、旅客运输和货物运输形势,表明“十三五”时期是综合交通运输从高速度增长向高质量发展的过渡阶段,具体表现为总量扩张趋缓、结构优化明显、升级动力减弱等三大特征,体现在交通投资和供给需求规模增速放缓,高快速交通方式的供需比重增加,交通生产投入的边际产出趋向递减等方面。     

昆明局集团公司卸车能力提升对策

为提升昆明局集团公司卸车能力,满足全路货运装车需求,阐述卸车能力影响因素,从系统角度构建铁路三级服务卸车系统,包括运输通道子系统、枢纽作业子系统与货运站点作业子系统.针对昆明局集团公司卸车能力紧缺的现状,分析各级服务子系统的能力,提出相应的能力提升措施,并分析其效果.经研究可知,通过实施运输组织优化、车流径路调整、货运...     

新冠肺炎疫情对铁路货运的影响及对策探讨

2020年初的新冠肺炎疫情对供应链上下游企业影响的波及,导致全社会货运量均受到不同程度的影响.在分析疫情对铁路货运量的影响基础上,针对货运总体需求下降、运输组织效率有待提高、营销激励机制有待加强等问题,通过畅通信息渠道、快速应对市场需求变化、建立"互利共赢"合作机制促进企业复工复产,通过加强运输组织、优化货运产品结构提...     

Freight Demand Management and the Potential of Receiver-Led Consolidation programs

The paper defines the field of Freight Demand Management (FDM), and positions it as an important component of transportation policy and management. To establish the rationale for FDM, the paper studies the effects of the agent interactions at the core of supply chains, and identifies the important role played by the receivers of supplies in determining when and how deliveries are made. The paper classifies the various modalities of FDM, and summarizes the real-life experiences of their implementation. To illustrate the potential of FDM, the paper analyzes Receiver-Led Consolidation (RLC) programs. The paper provides background on consolidation programs, and estimates a behavioral model to shed light on the factors explaining receivers’ interest in cargo consolidation. The resulting model is used to estimate expected participation in a RLC program in New York City. These results are complemented with freight-trip generation analyses, and a behavioral micro-simulation to estimate potential reductions in freight traffic and vehicle-miles-traveled. The results show that RLC programs could bring significant benefits to large metropolitan areas, reducing freight vehicle-miles-traveled and congestion levels.     

Impacts of information technology and urbanization on less-than-truckload freight flows in China: An analysis considering spatial effects

Understanding the relationship between socioeconomic factors and the Less-than-Truckload (LTL) freight flows is important for transportation planners and policy makers. This paper explores the impacts of information technology, urbanization on LTL freight flows by using a spatial autocorrelation model with freight flow data from a leading LTL company in China. The results show that all IT variables and urbanization variables have positive effects on freight flows. Distance, as expected, is negatively correlated with the freight flow volume. The application of the spatial autocorrelation model further shows that origin dependence, destination dependence and OD dependence are all significant, justifying the consideration of spatial interdependence. Finally, policy implications are discussed based on the estimated results. These findings shed light on the impacts of internet and urbanization on freight transportation, and contribute to the design of freight policies and the development of the LTL industry.     

航运市场运费套期保值方法探讨

分析研究了2种运费套期保值方法远期运价协议和运价指数期货合约，通过典型案例论证了租船人和船东都能利用这2种方法，锁定运费收入或支出，从而规避运价风险的目的；同时对这2种方法进行了分析比较，指出运价指数期货合约具有灵活性且安全的特点，但二者费用有差异，运价指数期货合约需要一定的保证金，实际费用等于经纪人的佣金(通常为0．3％)加上现金保证金的利息。     

A cost and CO2 comparison of using trains and higher capacity trucks when UK FMCG companies collaborate

Companies working in a collaboration are able to achieve higher vehicle capacity utilisation and reduced empty running, resulting in lower costs and improved sustainability through reduced emissions and congestion. Collaboration produces higher volumes of goods to be moved than individual companies which means that further efficiencies may be possible by relaxing the freight mode constraints and considering rail and higher capacity vehicles. This paper explains how real world data has been used in a model to quantify the economic and environmental benefits in the FMCG sector delivered through collaboration utilising road and rail freight modes. Data for one month was provided by 10 FMCG companies and included freight transport flows between depots and customers, inter depot movements, and supplier collections. Detailed road and rail costs and operating characteristics were obtained and, with the transport flows, applied to a network design model which was used to validate the company data sets. A strategy examining the potential use of alternative higher capacity vehicles and rail for the flows between nine regional consolidation centres showed cost and CO₂ savings. Just under half the inter-regional flows benefited from double deck trailers, longer heavier vehicles for 30% of the flows and rail with different wagon configurations for the rest. In summary there was a 23% reduction in cost with 58% fewer road kilometres and a 46% reduction in CO₂ emissions. The ability to backhaul the same mode of transport between most of the regional centres was one of the strengths of this strategy.     

广西甩挂运输发展对策研究

道路汽车甩挂运输在货物运输效率和节能减排效果上有显著的效益,正逐步得到社会各界的广泛关注。文章基于广西甩挂运输发展现状,预测分析广西发展道路甩挂运输的市场前景,并提出了广西发展甩挂运输的对策。     

Modelling mode choice for freight transport using advanced choice experiments

In this paper we use advanced choice modelling techniques to analyse demand for freight transport in a context of modal choice. To this end, a stated preference (SP) survey was conducted in order to estimate freight shipper preferences for the main attributes that define the service offered by the different transport modes. From a methodological point of view, we focus on two critical issues in the construction of efficient choice experiments. Firstly, in obtaining good quality prior information about the parameters; and secondly, in the improved quality of the experimental data by tailoring a specific efficient design for every respondent in the sample.With these data, different mixed logit models incorporating panel correlation effects and accounting for systematic and random taste heterogeneity are estimated. For the best model specification we obtain the willingness to pay for improving the level of service and the elasticity of the choice probabilities for the different attributes. Our model provide interesting results that can be used to analyse the potential diversion of traffic from road (the current option) to alternative modes, rail or maritime, as well as to help in the obtaining of the modal distribution of commercial traffic between Spain and the European Union, currently passing through the Pyrenees.     

春节期间货运组织工作的难点与对策

针对铁路春运期间存在的货源下降、运输方向受限等货运组织工作的难点进行分析,提出了强化路企合作,组织有效货源;动态优化方案,细化日历装车计划;改善产品结构,灵活调度指挥等对策,促进春节期间的增运增收,实现客货运输双赢。