A methodology for identifying similar days in air traffic flow management initiative planning

This article describes a methodology for selecting days that are comparable in terms of the conditions faced during air traffic flow management initiative planning. This methodology includes the use of specific data sources, specific features of calendar days defined using these data sources, and the application of a specific form of classification and then cluster analysis. The application of this methodology will produce results that enable historical analysis of the use of initiatives and evaluation of the relative success of different courses of action. Several challenges are overcome here including the need to identify the appropriate machine learning algorithms to apply, to quantify the differences between calendar days, to select features describing days, to obtain appropriate raw data, and to evaluate results in a meaningful way. These challenges are overcome via a review of relevant literature, the identification and trial of several useful models and data sets, and careful application of methods. For example, the cluster analysis that ultimately selects sets of similar days uses a distance metric based on variable importance measures from a separate classification model of observed initiatives. The methodology defined here is applied to the New York area, although it could be applied by other researchers to other areas.     

基于向量式有限元的响应围裙特性参数分析

为了实现大扰动下的响应围裙特性参数计算分析,基于向量式结构力学,提出一种计算大扰动下围裙复杂成型的向量式有限元法。运用该有限元法进行了围裙特性参数计算,并全面分析了囊压比、航速、触水深度和几何参数对响应围裙特性参数的影响,得出的结论可为响应围裙的设计提供一定参考。     

Elastic Modulus Limit of Support Layer in Twin-Block Ballastless Track Based on Train Load Effect

The support layer is an important component of twin-block ballastless track. The modulus of the support layer is an important design parameter and must be carefully solved. We studied the bending stress and deformation of track slab and support layer due to train load using the beam-plate finite element model on elastic foundation. The results show that support layer type has great impact on both support layer deformation and the stress on subgrade, but has little impact on the bending stress of either track slab or support layer. The continuous support layer type, and articulated support layer type with shear transfer device at their ends, are recommended. In order to keep the stress in the support layer less than that in track slab, the modulus of the continuous, unit, and articulated types of support layer (in unit twin-block ballastless track), and the support layer in continuous twin-block ballastless track, should not be larger than 15, 22, 20.5 and 5 GPa, respectively. In addition, the modulus of the unit-type support layer should not be more than 20 GPa, to ensure the step in support layer remains less than 1 mm.     

茅荆坝隧道斜井与正洞交叉口段施工

根据现场围岩实际情况,结合超前地质预报结果及监控量测数据,总结出斜井快速进入正洞的挑顶、支护等施工经验,为同类工程施工提供参考。     

基于支持向量机的巴拿马型船舶运价指数预测方法

考察运价指数波动的内在规律和外在影响,提出新模型预测运价指数,为航运市场经营者和投资者提供把握市场态势、规避价格风险的有力工具. 针对波罗的海巴拿马型船舶运价指数（BPI）序列,首先用小波变换对运价指数序列进行去噪,消除干散货运输市场中无规律的突发事件所造成的影响;在此基础上以前五个月的BPI值为输入变量,以第六个月的运价指数为输出变量,对支持向量机（SVM）进行训练,得到预测模型. 通过实证分析发现小波变换-SVM混合预测模型具有较高的预测精度,可用于对巴拿马船型运价走势的预测.     

宽幅变截面现浇箱梁支架设计及荷载校验

大窑湾港疏港高速公路主线特大桥工程一标段K3+147.00-K4+137.00段,上部为宽幅、多跨连续预应力混凝土箱梁,采取了等截面、变截面单箱多室断面形式,施工时采用满堂支架整体现浇和满堂支架分段施工、分段浇注一次落架两种施工方法施工。本文论述了本桥右半幅第四联4×30m箱梁满堂支架设计及荷载校验。     

紧邻大型深基坑的地铁隧道沉降预测方法研究

针对紧邻大型深基坑的地铁隧道因其变形影响因素复杂、变形控制严格而难以准确预测其沉降变形的问题,文章引入对小样本、复杂、非线性数据具有优越预测性能的支持向量机理论,并利用蚁群优化算法搜索支持向量机最优参数组合,建立了优化的支持向量机预测模型。应用该模型对南京市地铁1号线某段隧道的预测结果表明,该模型预测精度高,能够准确反映隧道变形趋势,可以满足紧邻大型深基坑地铁隧道沉降预测的要求。     

对兴建台湾海峡隧道的工程可行性及其若干技术关键的认识

从10个方面对兴建台湾海峡隧道的工程可行性进行论述,并阐述对其中若干技术关键的认识和建议。1）从台湾海峡拟议中兴建隧位沿线的地质与地震灾害性条件,看跨海隧道设计施工的工程可行性--试以“北线”方案为例,说明其对隧道施工与日后运营的影响; 2）海底隧道设计施工的特点和问题：对地质勘察、隧道最小埋置深度、隧道内交通运输工具的选择、关于服务隧道和海底渡线室等的设置、工程的安全设计与安全作业等提出意见和建议; 3）隧道不良地质区段施工水情水患的预测与防治：对隧道场址的水文地质条件的认识与评价;对防塌治水的基本原则,难以预见的施工风险及施工整治处理要点进行了阐述; 4）隧道围岩防塌险情预警、变形预测与控制--围岩施工稳定性评价：提出用“变形速率比值判别法”对围岩的施工稳定性进行评价,在施工期采用BMP软件对隧道衬护原设计参数进行调整和修正; 5）隧道掘进机（TBM）与钻爆法施工方案的比选--隧道施工机械现代化：提出用TBM与钻爆法配合的海峡隧道施工方案,同时指出当隧道部分地段需改用钻爆法开挖时,隧道的主要施工机械及监测仪具应现代化（如自动化喷混凝土机器人、自动化量测及监测反馈系统等）; 6）耐腐蚀高性能海工混凝土材料和隧道支衬结构：指明采用常规材料配制高性能海工混凝土,增强其耐久性的基本途径;给出不良地质区段岩体的隧道开挖、支护、施工排水和限压衬砌设计施工的建议; 7）特长大隧道的运营期通风问题--暂按铁路隧道并以英法海峡隧道为例作考虑：阐述海峡隧道的空气动力学问题,介绍英法海底隧道的通风系统原理及结构布置措施; 8）隧道防灾与减灾：建议学习参考西方一些国家和日本在隧道防灾方面的设计理念; 9）海底隧道施工风险评估与风险管理：提出该隧道的主要技术风险类别,并阐述对风险管理的认识; 10）关于悬浮式隧道：对本隧道情况而言,建议悬浮式隧道方案再另行慎议;最后指出下一步的地质和地震勘察尚有待深入进行的工作。     

基于FSM的IEC60870-5-104的设计与实现

随着IEC60870-5-104规约标准的制定,为便于该规约在实际中的应用,编写较好的应用软件,引入有限状态机(FSM)进行设计.并且基于面向对象技术提出一种高度结构化的有限状态机的实现框架.该框架的引入,实现灵活的复用机制,提高系统的健壮性和可维护性.为此类通信软件的开发,提供便捷通用的开发模式.且在实际运行中效果良好.     

基于数据仓库技术的铁路决策支持系统

建立基于数据仓库技术的铁路决策支持系统可以更有效地实现跨平台数据集中、多部门信息共享以及综合信息决策支持,是铁路信息化建设的重要组成部分.简要介绍数据仓库概念及其相关技术,并提出基于数据仓库技术的铁路决策支持系统解决方案.