WTO与中国寿险业的利率风险

从各项指标来看，中国的保险市场蕴藏着巨大的商机。按照世界贸易组织的规定，中国一旦全面开放保险市场，国内保险业将面临前所未有的竞争局面。如何保持国内保险业在竞争中立于不败之地，当务之急是要解决困扰保险业健康发展的问题。现实和潜在的最大问题之一表现为保险业较高的利率风险和较低的风险分散、风险转移的能力。中提出了国内保险业中长期的发展战略。     

一种结构垂向冲击载荷测量方法分析研究

某些作用在舰船结构上的瞬态动载荷,由于受到客观条件限制（比如空间狭小）,不方便直接通过压力传感器获得其大小,而该载荷对于船体结构设计又关系重大,如何取得外载荷曲线便成了十分关键的问题。针对实船某承受特殊冲击载荷的基座结构,通过测量其结构动应变,利用材料应变-应力关系曲线得出了冲击载荷的时间历程曲线,最后用有限元法对该冲击载荷测量曲线进行验证。结果表明,当结构应变率小于3mm/mm/s时,可采用静态材料应变-应力关系曲线对结构冲击载荷进行测量计算,从而为此类结构外载荷测量方法提供参考。     

块石基床爆夯技术在重力式码头的应用及质量控制

爆夯技术近年在重力式码头抛石基床上得到广泛应用,本文结合福建某重力式码头基床、地基及水文的实际情况,总结块石基床水下爆炸夯实技术的设计、施工工艺、质量控制及爆破的安全控制,以供类似工程参考。     

基于桥梁单元刚度损伤识别的新型间接量测方法研究

基于移动车辆在桥梁上运行来测试桥梁基频的间接量测法已经获得实桥的验证，提出一种新型间接量测法，该方法有别于牵引车拖动测试车辆一直运行并同步采集信号的传统间接量测方式，需牵引车同时拖动固定间距的前、后2辆测试车辆前行，并在固定点静止采集少许时间后，继续重复操作至测试车辆通行整跨桥梁，利用测试车辆上采集的信号，计算整跨桥梁的传递率矩阵，然后利用奇异值分解识别出桥梁的第1阶模态，进而利用改进的直接刚度法计算桥梁单元弯曲刚度，并进行损伤识别。首先从理论上说明该方法的可行性，然后在各类影响因素下进行数值模拟分析，最后通过某实桥试验进行初步验证。研究结果表明：相比于常规在桥梁上直接测试的方法，提出方法耗时短，机动性好，适用于大面积大区域桥梁集群快速测试；相比于传统间接量测方式，提出方法通行时间虽有少量增加，但能较好解决桥梁阻尼比、测试车阻尼、外激励变化、噪音、桥面粗糙度等传统间接量测方法中存在的问题。     

Analysis on Ground Surface Deformation and Influence of Construction Parameters Caused by Two Different Shield Machines in Double-tube Tunnelling北大核心CSCD

Based on a shield-driven running tunnel project of Hangzhou Metro Line 2, this paper carries out field measuring of the ground surface deformation caused by two different shield machines in double-tube tunnelling in soft soil areas, obtains the laws of the surface deformation caused by shield-driven double-tube tunnelling and verifies the applicability of the modified Peck formula to double-tube tunnelling. The results show that in soft soil areas the impacts on ground surface deformation caused by different shield construction parameters in the previously and subsequently excavated tunnels are different, while the surface deformation changes sharply before and after the shield machine passing through the cutting face, and a rebound phenomenon occurs when the shield tail passes through the cutting face due to the influence of the grouting; The cutterhead torque of the shield machine in soft soil areas can be composed of five calculation factors, and the calculation results are in good agreement with the measured values. The larger the opening rate of the shield cutterhead is, the larger the average torque value will be, the higher the percentage of large ground loss rate will be, and the larger the maximum ground surface settlement will be; The ratio of cutterhead torque T to mucking volume per ring Q is used as the control parameter for analyzing the ground surface settlement, and a certain positive correlation between the ratio and the surface settlement value is determined, the smaller the cutterhead opening rate is, the more accurate the fitting results will be. © 2022, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

Effects of countdown timers on queue discharge characteristics of through movement at a signalized intersection

This study investigates how countdown timers installed at a signalized intersection affect the queue discharge characteristics of through movement during the green phase. Since the countdown timers display the time remaining (in seconds) until the onset of the green phase, drivers waiting in the queue at the intersection are aware of the upcoming phase change, and are likely to respond quicker. Thus, the countdown timers could reduce the start-up lost time, decrease the saturation headway, and increase the saturation flow rate. This study observed vehicle flow at an intersection in Bangkok for 24 h when the countdown timers were operating, and for another 24 h when the countdown timers were switched off. The signal plans and timings remained unchanged in both cases. Standard statistical t-tests were used to compare the difference in traffic characteristics between the “with timer” and “without timer” cases. It was found that the countdown timers had a significant impact on the start-up lost time, reducing it by 1.00–1.92 s per cycle, or a 17–32% time saving. However, the effects on saturation headway were found to be trivial, which implies that the countdown timers do not have much impact on the saturation flow rate of signalized intersections, especially during the off-peak day period and the late night period. The savings in the start-up lost time from the countdown timers was estimated to be equivalent to an 8–24 vehicles/h increase for each through movement lane at the intersection being studied.     

路网环境下考虑大型车混入率的事故疏散诱导模型

大型车的混入对高速公路交通流产生了较大的影响，尤其是在交通事故情景下。为了引导事故条件下驾驶人和组织者做出高效准确的决断，将考虑了大型车混入率的动态空间占有率模型引入到交通波模型，构建干涉与非干涉情景下的交通事故影响模型。以郑尧高速为例，对模型的准确性和可行性进行了验证，分别对干涉情景下的疏散时间、疏散量以及事故发生的位置，车辆数等指标与事故影响程度的指标（包含事故最远排队长度，事故持续时间）关系进行分析。研究结果表明：疏散时间与事故影响程度成正相关关系，疏散量与事故影响程度成负相关关系，而事故发生点与上游匝道之间的距离与其关系不大；道路服务水平为0.456，车辆数为1 321 veh·h^-1时，为了使得分合流区不受影响，在不采取任何措施的情景下，应将大型车混入率控制在50.1%以下，使得最远排队长度在10 km内；当大型车混入率大于58%时，将很难通过干涉引导避免对上游分合流区产生影响；在35 min以内采取干涉措施的效果最为明显，而大于35 min时，事故持续时间会发生一个急剧的增加，不利于路网恢复，之后事故恢复时间将趋于平稳；对道路交通量进行模拟可知交通量每增加50 veh，疏散时间和距离增加的范围为[1.5 min，3.6 min]和[1.209 km，1.543 km]。研究结果可为高速公路事故诱导策略制定和疏散效果提升提供参考。     

关于IE在重卡制造业中的应用

介绍了某重卡调整线运用IE手法,引入工业工程中的作业分析、程序分析、作业分析、动作分析等方法和思想,对生产线进行改善。     

EFFECT OF EPIMEDIUM FLAVONE TOTAL(EFT) ON THE IMMUNOFUNCTION OF EHRLICH ASCITES CANCER(EAC) BEARING MICE

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水面舰艇反鱼雷鱼雷作战使用方法研究

国外海军在研究发展反鱼雷鱼雷（ATT）,但对于其作战使用方法问题,却很少公开报道。针对ATT作战使用时的两种作战模式,建立鱼雷与ATT之间的对抗模型,分析了ATT的射击提前角与鱼雷来袭舷角、鱼雷报警距离、鱼雷速度、ATT速度之间的关系,为ATT的作战使用提供理论参考,并给出了几条结论。