Impact assessment of extreme weather events on transport networks: A data-driven approach

The present paper presents a data-driven method for assessing the resilience of the European passenger transport network during extreme weather events. The method aims to fill in the gap of current research efforts regarding the quantification of impacts attributed to climate change and the identification of substitutability opportunities between transport modes in case of extreme weather events (EWE). The proposed method consists of three steps concerning the probability estimation of an EWE occurring within a transportation network, the assessment of its impacts and the passengers’ flow shift between various transport modes. A mathematical formulation for the proposed data-driven method is provided and applied in an indicative European small-scale network, in order to assess the impacts of EWE on modal choice. Results are expressed in passenger differentiated flows and the paper concludes with future research steps and directions.     

汽车覆盖件回弹缺陷的分析

在汽车覆盖件的成型中，诸如鼓动，抠洼以及各种面形状不良等，均可认为是一种由于弹性回复引起 面外变位现象，亦即因板材弹性回复作用使板料以各种各样的形式偏离设计面位。     

Emergence of resilience as a framework for state Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the United States

State Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the United States are responsible for a large portfolio of transportation modes and services, including passenger and freight systems. These responsibilities include operations under routine conditions and during incidents and events that result from various natural and human-caused hazards. During unexpected events, disruptions and reductions in service result in requiring the reallocation and reassignment of personnel, modal, and economic resources. To better prevent and respond to the effects of service disruptions, the concept of resilience has emerged as an important framework, within which, DOTs across the United States are using to plan for the occurrence of threats. In this paper, the key findings of recent reviews of literature and practice related to resilience among state DOTs in the United States are summarized. The review effort focused on a range of risks faced by transportation agencies including climate change, terrorism, cyber-attacks, and aging infrastructure and the ways in which DOTs are confronting them in practice. The topics of this paper range from the fundamental, including definitions of transportation resilience; to the more complex such as examinations of risk, vulnerability and threats; to the most sophisticated topics including administrative-level efforts to conceptualize evolving transportation planning and policies within a resilience framework.     

Transport resilience and vulnerability: The role of connectivity

This paper aims to adopt a critical stance on the relevance and interpretation of the recently emerging concepts of resilience and vulnerability in transportation studies. It makes a clear distinction between engineering and ecological interpretations of these concepts and offers a systematic typology of various studies in this field. A core element in the study is the linkage between the aforementioned concepts and connectivity/accessibility in transport networks. The methodological findings in the study are put in perspective by addressing also such concepts as robustness, reliability and friability of transport systems.     

An optimization model of energy and transportation systems: Assessing the high-speed rail impacts in the United States

This paper presents a long-term investment planning model that co-optimizes infrastructure investments and operations across transportation and electric infrastructure systems for meeting the energy and transportation needs in the United States. The developed passenger transportation model is integrated within the modeling framework of a National Long-term Energy and Transportation Planning (NETPLAN) software, and the model is applied to investigate the impact of high-speed rail (HSR) investments on interstate passenger transportation portfolio, fuel and electricity consumption, and 40-year cost and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions. The results show that there are feasible scenarios under which significant HSR penetration can be achieved, leading to reasonable decrease in national long-term CO₂ emissions and costs. At higher HSR penetration of approximately 30% relative to no HSR in the portfolio promises a 40-year cost savings of up to $0.63 T, gasoline and jet fuel consumption reduction of up to 34% for interstate passenger trips, CO₂ emissions reduction by about 0.8 billion short tons, and increased resilience against petroleum price shocks. Additionally, sensitivity studies with respect to light-duty vehicle mode share reveal that in order to realize such long-term cost and emission benefits, a change in the passenger mode choice is essential to ensure higher ridership for HSR.     

Generation and recovery of airborne delays in air transport

The analysis of the causes behind the appearance and propagation of delays is one of the major topics inside Air Transport Management research. Existing research focuses by and large on Air Traffic Flow Management regulations and reactionary delays; less attention has been devoted to the study of the mechanisms governing the generation and absorption of delays while airborne, in spite of their important economical and environmental consequences. Here we present a methodology to detect delay-generating events, based on the comparison of planned and real trajectories; these events are then used to characterise several aspects of the dynamics of the system, e.g. its resilience. We apply this methodology to a historical data set of flights crossing the European airspace during 2011, and observe an overall resilient system, able to absorb as much delays as it generates; yet resilience is not constant, but strongly depends on the phase of the flight, and shows high spatial and temporal heterogeneities. We anticipate the proposed methodology to open new doors for the development of a better systemic performance, by enabling the characterisation and understanding of this fundamental type of delay.     

火灾受损桥梁检测评估与加固处理

介绍回弹 超声综合法在检测评定桥梁结构遭受火灾损伤中的应用。结合实例,给出应用碳纤维布补强技术对其加固处理的方法,并通过桥梁静载试验证实加固取得了很好的效果,其思路可为处理同类病害的桥梁提供有益的参考。     

摩托车车架弯管技术探讨

摩托车车架弯管件在弯曲过程中,会出现椭圆变形、壁厚变薄和回弹等现象。基于对上述现象产生原理的分析和相应的试验,提出一些切合实际的解决方法:弯管件设计时,尽量增大弯管件的弯曲半径,这样有助于减小椭圆变形率、壁厚变薄率;在生产时选用合适的芯棒,可以有效减小椭圆变形;按公式计算弯曲模的半径;按公式或20/120方法计算角度回弹值来修正弯管机的加工程序。     

35 CeMo钢强韧化处理的研究

对35 CeMo钢进行了多种工艺试验,找出了较理想的提高强韧性的复合热处理方法,该方法可使35 CeMo钢在具有高强度的同时,又具有较高的冲击韧性。     

基于韧性理论的盾构隧道智能建造北大核心CSCD

以盾构隧道为主的城市轨道交通在"十三五"期间已取得了跨越式的进步,盾构掘进设备在智能化方面取得了飞速发展,但隧道结构设计、结构制造和现场管片拼装的智能化方面,仍需要大的创新与突破。面对建设韧性智慧城市的战略目标,盾构隧道还存在系列问题亟需解决,如对于新材料的物性认识浅、理论少;传感的布置缺乏针对性,监测感知差;隧道管片拼装大量依靠人工,误差大。解决这些问题的关键在于构建一个基于韧性理论的智能化盾构隧道建造系统,通过利用材料和结构的韧性特点,结合计算机等信息技术,采用韧性设计、智能感知、智能制造、智能拼装等一系列措施,使得隧道结构中的材料可智能感知、结构可精准监测、数据可实时孪生、信息可高效管理、制造可自动操控、过程可全域感知、模型可动态调节、管片可智能拼装,最终实现韧性城市的盾构隧道智能化建设。