基于线性叠加的智能船舶经济性评估模型构建

经济性是智能船舶能否实现推广应用的关键,目前国内外有关智能船舶经济性分析的研究较少。本文通过对传统船舶经济性分析方法进行修正优化,提出智能船舶经济性分析计算模型,并根据理论推导结果,得出智能船舶经济性分析的线性叠加简化模型,并利用40万吨级VLOC实际运营数据进行科学性检验。本文提出的模型与方法适用于各类智能模块加装情况下的经济性核算,为相关单位开展智能船舶经济性快速分析提供了理论支持和解决方案。     

Widening the Panama Canal and U.S. ports: historical and economic impact analyses

ABSTRACT

The economic history of the U.S. illustrates how the role of many cities has been changed by being seaports or located on navigable rivers or lakes. Based on the widening of the Panama Canal in 2016, the West Coast ports that include the west coast seaports of California, Oregon, and Washington were expected to become less important, while the freight shares of the East Coast and Gulf ports would increase. By how much it has been not easy to measure or predict so far, but this study attempted to define some of the key parameters in the measurement. As well as several relevant background topics, both the demand- and supply-side versions of the National Interstate Economic Model, have been applied for the measurement of economic impacts. U.S. port authorities and policy makers at the local and national levels who respond and develop plans for coping with the new realities of the Panama Canal are able to understand the extent to which changes in shippers’ and land-mode transporters’ behaviors would undermine the logistics and the costs of their activities. Therefore, this study is important for a diverse spectrum of port development strategies in the U.S. to respond to the Canal expansion.     

Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

造船经济论证方法的探讨

船舶经济分析是船舶技术经济论证的主要环节之一,但传统的造船经济论证方法存在着一定的缺陷。为此,充分考虑各个因素的不确定性,考虑经营的风险性,对传统的造船经济论证方法加以综合改进,形成新的造船论证方法——计算机模拟方法。与传统方法相比,计算机模拟的方法在最终结果的处理上更有现实意义。     

从温州经济模式学到的经验

叙述了温州经济模式的发展 ,并总结了温州模式的思想精髓     

带孔沉箱结构类型与经济效益分析

通过大连华能电厂的循环水取水口工程实例,对不同的大型带孔沉箱结构进行了结构和经济效益的分析比较,以期推广受力性能较好、施工方便可行、经济效益较好的新型沉箱结构。     

加强项目管理提高企业经济效益

工程项目经理部的全部管理行为的本质，是运用项目管理原理和各种方法来降低成本，创造经济效益。提高经济效益，必须坚持开源与节流相结合的原则。一方面要加强项目成本管理，另一方面要加强合同预算管理，两者相结合，以取得最大的经济利益。     

城市轨道交通开发利益作用机理与影响范围研究

城市轨道交通建设运营会给轨道交通线路沿线区域内的土地和不动产带来巨大的开发利益。本文从城市轨道交通引起轨道交通线路沿线区域内的土地和不动产增值的基本原理入手,分析城市轨道交通利益发生、扩散和转移的作用过程,借鉴国外学者的相关研究成果,阐明了城市轨道交通利益最终归属的基本特征;在此基础上,重点对城市轨道交通开发利益的影响范围进行研究,根据出行可达性一致的原则建立了城市轨道交通开发利益影响范围的初步计算模型,针对上海轨道交通1号线各车站的开发利益影响范围进行了试算;同时,根据实际调查数据对上海轨道交通1号线莘庄站的开发利益影响范围进行了对比分析,验证了模型计算结果;此外还提出了有待进一步深化研究的问题。     

MBR工艺在车站站房污水回用中的经济分析

MBR（Membrane Bioreactor）工艺是将生物处理与膜分离技术相结合而成的一种高效污水处理新工艺。此文就其在车站站房污水回用工程领域的应用进行了经济分析和比较，结果表明，MBR工艺比传统的中水处理工艺具有更强的竞争力。     

沪杭磁浮线的社会经济效益分析

沪杭磁浮线对长江三角洲的经济将会带来巨大影响,同时其投入资金巨大.从可量化效益(节约乘客出行时间、提高安全性、提高乘客的劳动生产率、节约城市土地、降低污染、带动沿线不动产的增值、节约能源)和不可量化效益(改善交通促进城市发展、改善居民生活质量)这两大方面对沪杭磁浮线的社会经济效益进行分析.