基于任务需要的海警大型舰艇基本需求建模与分析

以线性和非线性需求结合方式建立了以满足任务需要为条件的海警大型舰艇基本需求组合模型,预测计算了多个样本国海警大型舰艇基本需求数,结果表明该模型有一定的实用性.据此对中国海警大型舰艇基本需求进行预测,预测结果可对中国海警大型舰艇发展规划提供参考.     

75000t散货船阻力预报方法研究

在75000t散货船的设计建造过程中，主机的选型和功率的确定至关重要，这都取决于船舶在静水中以一定航速航行时的阻力值。本文对船舶阻力研究的三种方法，经验公式估算、船模试验和CFD数值计算进行介绍，并以75000t散货船为例讨论三种方法的预报阻力的可行性，以供设计者参考。     

大型蓄电池修复装置的信号调理技术研究

为提高大型铅酸落后蓄电池修复装置的控制性能和修复效果,分析了蓄电池修复装置的布局特点,研究修复装置信号调理系统,设计了信号调理系统的各组成模块,应用信号调理工控机及数据采集卡模块,集成了先进、有效的大型蓄电池修复装置信号调理系统,为蓄电池修复装置提高电池的容量,发挥修复效果奠定基础。     

Time-variant bulk carrier reliability analysis in pure bending intact and damage conditions

Time-variant reliability analysis of a corroded bulk carrier in intact and damage conditions is performed by First-Order (FORM), Second-Order (SORM) Reliability Methods and Importance Sampling simulation. Annual failure probabilities are determined up to 25-year ship lifetime, accounting for time-variant corrosion wastage of structural members contributing to hull girder strength. Statistical properties of hull girder capacity are determined by Monte Carlo simulation, applying three correlation models among corrosion wastages of structural members contributing to hull girder strength, namely no correlation, full correlation and full correlation among wastages of structural members belonging to the same category of compartments. A modified incremental-iterative method is applied, to account for instantaneous neutral axis rotation, in case of asymmetrical damage conditions, as for collision and grounding events. Incidence of intact/damage condition, as well as correlation among corrosion wastages, on annual sagging/hogging time-variant failure probability is investigated and discussed. Time-variant sensitivity analyses for intact and damage conditions are also performed, to investigate the incidence of random variables' uncertainties on the attained failure probability. Finally, the bulk carrier section scheme, benchmarked in the last ISSC Report, is applied as test case.     

LNG运输船BOG处理技术发展与演化路径研究

LNG运输船具有良好的发展前景，BOG的妥善处理是LNG燃料运输船安全航行的重要环节。通过专利数据挖掘与数据分析技术，归纳全球LNG运输船BOG处理领域的焦点技术和前沿技术，并且结合专利文本信息梳理出BOG处理技术的演化路径。研究结果发现，BOG处理领域内专利申请集中在回收利用方式、再液化装置及再液化处理方式三个方面。企业在今后发展中应针对涡轮布雷顿制冷技术进行重点研发和专利布局。     

高精度陀螺全站仪在长大铁路隧道CPⅡ平面控制网分段建网测量中的应用

为了确保隧道贯通前CPⅡ分段建网的精度,保障隧道的顺利施工,以格库铁路阿尔金山隧道为工程背景,采用高精度陀螺全站仪对洞内CPⅡ平面控制网加测多条陀螺边,并提出了陀螺定向精度观测精度内检核、多条陀螺边定向复核的方法,对陀螺定向边位置的选择、陀螺方位角观测中误差、陀螺方位角观测值的应用区间进行探讨。应用高精度陀螺定向成果对比分析洞内CPⅡ分段控制网成果,从理论上探讨了加测陀螺边对CPⅡ控制网贯通预计精度的影响,解决了隧道贯通前CPⅡ平面控制网精度无法验证的问题,确保了CPⅡ分段建网的精度,总结出一套高精度陀螺全站仪在长大铁路隧道CPⅡ平面控制网分段建网测量中的应用方法,其中包括陀螺定向边间距约2 km、陀螺定向边采用对向观测、每测站数不小于4测回且观测方向平均测角中误差应小于仪器精度(3.6″)、依据陀螺观测计算方位角与导线推算方位角较差值并将成果应用划为三个应用区间、依据陀螺定向观测精度变换权重降低贯通预计值、优化约束平差计算方案等。     

典型航线船舶排放清单及排放特征研究

文章分析了我国典型航线典型船舶排放特征,以船舶自动识别系统数据为基础,收集整理所选研究船舶排放参数,结合船舶实际航行资料,采用动力法估算了秦皇岛港—广州港航线某散货船一个航行周期的排放清单,并分析了靠港、停泊、港内机动、巡航4个船舶状态下的排放特征,绘制了2 km×2 km分辨率的空间排放特征图。结果表明,该典型航线上典型散货船舶一个航行周期排放的SOx、NOx、PM10、PM2.5总量分别为18.88吨、30.87吨、1.85吨和1.69吨。排放源分析表明从在船舶的主机、辅机和锅炉3种排放源中,主机是主要排放源。航行状态上巡航工况排放量最大;船舶排放污染物的空间分析表明,船舶在进出港口区域是污染物排放最密集的区域。     

Hydroelastic analysis of oblique irregular waves with a pontoon-type VLFS edged with dual inclined perforated plates

The fluid-structure interaction of oblique irregular waves with a pontoon-type very large floating structure (VLFS) edged with dual horizontal/inclined perforated plates has been investigated in the context of the direct time domain modal expansion theory. For the hydroelastic analysis, the boundary element method (BEM) based on time domain Kelvin sources is implemented to establish water wave model including the viscous effect of the perforated plates through the Darcy’s law, and the finite element method (FEM) is adopted for solving the deflections of the VLFS modeled as an equivalent Mindlin thick plate. In order to enhance the computing efficiency, the interpolation-tabulation scheme is applied to assess rapidly and accurately the free-surface Green function and its partial derivatives in finite water depth, and the boundary integral equation of a half or quarter VLFS model is further established taking advantage of symmetry of flow field and structure. Also, the numerical solutions are validated against a series of experimental tests. In the comparison, the empirical relationship between the actual porosity and porous parameter is successfully applied. Numerical solutions and model tests are executed to determine the hydroelastic response characteristics of VLFS with an attached anti-motion device. This study examines the effects of porosity, submerged depth, inclined angle and gap distance of such dual perforated anti-motion plates on the hydroelastic response to provide information regarding the optimal design. The effects of oblique wave angle on the performance of anti-motion and hydroelastic behavior of VLFS are also emphatically examined.     

海上风电大直径单桩基础固有频率影响因素的数值分析

针对海上风电整机结构其低阶固有频率的控制问题,基于有限元分析技术开展小直径桩土相互作用的数值模拟分析,与试验结果、API规范计算结果进行对比,验证了数值模型的适用性,分析大直径单桩结构桩内土芯、冲刷深度、表层土置换措施对整机固有频率的影响,结果表明,基于有限元实体单元计算所得一、二阶整机固有频率要明显大于传统p-y方法计算结果;桩内土芯对一、二阶整机固有频率影响很小;在一定范围内,随着泥面冲刷深度的增加,一、二阶固有频率降低不明显,认为传统p-y方法对于大直径单桩的适用性有待研究;在实际工程设计中,桩内土芯的影响可忽略;对于大直径单桩,在一定范围内可以忽略冲刷的影响。     

Empirical estimation of price and income elasticities of air cargo demand: The case of Hong Kong

This paper estimates the price and income elasticities of air cargo demand and examines how they may change after the 2008 financial crisis. Using a set of time series data, we simultaneously estimate the aggregated demand and supply functions of air cargo at Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA). We find that during the entire sampling period of 2001–2013, the price elasticity for air cargo transport demand at HKIA ranges from −0.74 to −0.29, suggesting that air cargo demand in Hong Kong reacts negatively to price (as expected) but does not appear to be very sensitive to price. The income elasticity ranges from 0.29 to 1.47 and appears sensitive to seasonality adjustment approaches. However, in terms of the speed of changes, air cargo demand changes much faster than overall economy, indicating the presence of a pro-cyclical pattern of air cargo traffic with respect to the overall economy. Our analysis shows that air cargo demand becomes more sensitive to changes in both price and income after 2008.