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E. Frejinger M. Bierlaire M. Ben-Akiva 《Transportation Research Part B: Methodological》2009,43(10):984-994
This paper presents a new paradigm for choice set generation in the context of route choice model estimation. We assume that the choice sets contain all paths connecting each origin–destination pair. Although this is behaviorally questionable, we make this assumption in order to avoid bias in the econometric model. These sets are in general impossible to generate explicitly. Therefore, we propose an importance sampling approach to generate subsets of paths suitable for model estimation. Using only a subset of alternatives requires the path utilities to be corrected according to the sampling protocol in order to obtain unbiased parameter estimates. We derive such a sampling correction for the proposed algorithm.Estimating models based on samples of alternatives is straightforward for some types of models, in particular the multinomial logit (MNL) model. In order to apply MNL for route choice, the utilities should also be corrected to account for the correlation using, for instance, a path size (PS) formulation. We argue that the PS attribute should be computed based on the full choice set. Again, this is not feasible in general, and we propose a new version of the PS attribute derived from the sampling protocol, called Expanded PS.Numerical results based on synthetic data show that models including a sampling correction are remarkably better than the ones that do not. Moreover, the Expanded PS shows good results and outperforms models with the original PS formulation. 相似文献
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通过对试验室A和试验室B开展汽车薄钢板表面波纹度(Wa)的比对试验,分析了采用不同测量仪器对同一试样测得的数据出现较大差别的现象,得出其原因:①钢板表面各处Wa的不均匀性;②测针锥形尖端曲率半径和圆锥的坡形角度不同;③设备使用导头基准与独立直线基准不同;④采用剪板机剪切的试样平面度公差难以保证.要使检测数据具有相互参考... 相似文献
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Michiel C.J. Bliemer John M. Rose 《Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice》2011,45(1):63-79
Discrete choice experiments are conducted in the transport field to obtain data for investigating travel behaviour and derived measures such as the value of travel time savings. The multinomial logit (MNL) and other more advanced discrete choice models (e.g., the mixed MNL model) have often been estimated on data from stated choice experiments and applied for planning and policy purposes. Determining efficient underlying experimental designs for these studies has become an increasingly important stream of research, in which the objective is to generate stated choice tasks that maximize the collected information, yielding more reliable parameter estimates. These theoretical advances have not been rigorously tested in practice, such that claims on whether the theoretical efficiency gains translate into practice cannot be made. Using an extensive empirical study of air travel choice behaviour, this paper presents for the first time results of different stated choice experimental design approaches, in which respective estimation results are compared. We show that D-efficient designs keep their promise in lowering standard errors in estimating, thereby requiring smaller sample sizes, ceteris paribus, compared to a more traditional orthogonal design. The parameter estimates found using an orthogonal design or an efficient design turn out to be statistically different in several cases, mainly attributed to more or less dominant alternatives existing in the orthogonal design. Furthermore, we found that small designs with a limited number of choice tasks performs just as good (or even better) than a large design. Finally, we show that theoretically predicted sample sizes using the so-called S-estimates provide a good lower bound. This paper will enable practitioners in better understanding the potential benefits of efficient designs, and enables policy makers to make decisions based on more reliable parameter estimates. 相似文献
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上海洋山港区的自然条件及泥沙来源分析 总被引:16,自引:7,他引:16
在现场水文测验、泥沙分析等资料整理分析的基础上 ,重点对该区水沙特性、沉积物质组成及盐度变化对泥沙沉速的影响及泥沙来源问题进行了探讨。 相似文献
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通过对比相同配合比下的室内标准模制圆柱体混凝土试样与现场试验板钻芯标准芯样之间的劈裂强度,探讨了钻芯取样测试对劈裂强度的影响;通过对不同长度芯样的劈裂强度进行对比,研究了试样长度对芯样劈裂强度的影响规律。结果表明:由于钻芯过程产生的损伤及试验板与模制圆柱体试件的混凝土拌和、振捣、养护条件不同,导致钻芯法测得的混凝土劈裂强度相比室内试验降低15.7%;另外由于圆柱体试件的长度增加,混凝土试件的受力平面也随之增大,平面内存在的微裂缝、微孔洞的数量也会随之增多,导致随着试样长度的减小,测得的试样劈裂强度逐渐增大。最终得出国内某通用机场新建飞行区工程的劈裂强度与长度的修正系数。 相似文献
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为了满足高黎贡山隧道竖井施工任务要求,综合隧道所处环境及竖井能力需求,按照竖井井口、井筒、井下3方面统筹考虑的总体设计思路,提出高黎贡山隧道1号竖井设计关键问题的解决方案: 1)根据井口地形、地貌条件及提升设备、井口车场布置要求,合理布置井口场坪; 2)根据竖井功能定位,竖井宜采用主副井模式; 3)根据井下施工的出渣量、材料数量、人员进出量等综合考虑竖井断面尺寸; 4)当地质条件、水文地质条件允许时,竖井宜采用短段掘砌混合作业法施工,设置模筑混凝土井壁; 5)竖井提升设备宜按井下施工期间的要求考虑,建井期间各设备之间能力应匹配; 6)竖井施工能力应满足井下施工期间出渣、进料要求,并留有富余; 7)井底车场应结合运输方式及进料、出渣等功能要求确定; 8)竖井安全保障应首要解决地下水问题。目前高黎贡山隧道1号竖井主井已完成建井,结果表明铁路隧道竖井按照以上设计方法及思路是可行的。 相似文献
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铁路含油废水中油的形态和粒度分布 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
用重量法和紫外分光光度法研究了铁路内燃机务段、蒸汽机务段和车辆段含油废水中油的形态分布规律。废水中的油有15% ̄50%上浮至水面,40% ̄70%随悬浮物下沉,只有4% ̄30%的油滞留水中,此外使用显微镜计数法测定了油水乳状液中的油珠粒径,废水中油珠粒径一般在30μm以下,并得了油珠在粒度分布和重量分数。 相似文献