迎浪规则波中小水线面双体船纵向运动及波浪载荷非线性特性数值分析

基于RANS方程和VOF模型求解船体粘性兴波流场,开展了小水线面双体船(Small Waterplane Area Twin Hulls,SWATH)迎浪规则波中纵向运动及波浪载荷的非线性特性研究.通过数值计算结果与模型试验结果的对比分析,验证了文中方法的有效性;在此基础上,较为系统地分析了SWATH船的垂荡及纵摇运动响应、垂向加速度和波浪载荷的一阶及二阶量随入射波高的变化规律,指出SWATH船的运动响应及载荷与波高存在非线性的关系,尤其体现在响应共振区附近;相比于船体垂荡和纵摇运动,垂向加速度及波浪载荷的非线性特性更为显著.     

Travel time estimation from sparse floating car data with consistent path inference: A fixed point approach

Estimation of urban network link travel times from sparse floating car data (FCD) usually needs pre-processing, mainly map-matching and path inference for finding the most likely vehicle paths that are consistent with reported locations. Path inference requires a priori assumptions about link travel times; using unrealistic initial link travel times can bias the travel time estimation and subsequent identification of shortest paths. Thus, the combination of path inference and travel time estimation is a joint problem. This paper investigates the sensitivity of estimated travel times, and proposes a fixed point formulation of the simultaneous path inference and travel time estimation problem. The methodology is applied in a case study to estimate travel times from taxi FCD in Stockholm, Sweden. The results show that standard fixed point iterations converge quickly to a solution where input and output travel times are consistent. The solution is robust under different initial travel times assumptions and data sizes. Validation against actual path travel time measurements from the Google API and an instrumented vehicle deployed for this purpose shows that the fixed point algorithm improves shortest path finding. The results highlight the importance of the joint solution of the path inference and travel time estimation problem, in particular for accurate path finding and route optimization.     

半透空沉箱式防波堤的消波性能试验研究

提出一种新型防波堤——半透空沉箱式防波堤。在玻璃水槽中进行系列水工模型试验,量测在不同波高、周期波浪作用下,半透空沉箱防波堤前后的波浪特征参数,分析半透空沉箱防波堤对不同特征波浪的反射率,波浪周期与波浪尖锐度之关系。探讨该防波堤结构的消波原理与性能,根据试验分析结果,选出最优的透空率及内置斜坡坡度,试验结论可为开敞式港区码头的防波消波方案设计与规划提供一种新思路。     

Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link counts and sporadic routing data

Estimation of origin-destination (OD) matrices from link count data is a challenging problem because of the highly indeterminate relationship between the observations and the latent route flows. Conversely, estimation is straightforward if we observe the path taken by each vehicle. We consider an intermediate problem of increasing practical importance, in which link count data is supplemented by routing information for a fraction of vehicles on the network. We develop a statistical model for these combined data sources and derive some tractable normal approximations thereof. We examine likelihood-based inference for these normal models under the assumption that the probability of vehicle tracking is known. We show that the likelihood theory can be non-standard because of boundary effects, and provide conditions under which such irregular behaviour will be observed in practice. For regular cases we outline connections with existing generalised least squares methods. We then consider estimation of OD matrices under estimated and/or misspecified models for the probability of vehicle tracking. Theoretical developments are complemented by simulation experiments and an illustrative example using a section of road network from the English city of Leicester.     

沉箱开孔对平均越浪量的影响

针对开孔沉箱对平均越浪量影响的问题,以国内某港区通用码头工程为基础,对比分析了直立式沉箱和开孔沉箱平均越浪量的多种经验公式计算方法,并和断面物理模型试验结果进行比较。公式计算结果显示,开孔沉箱与不开孔沉箱平均越浪量之比为25%~50%;断面物理模型试验结果显示,沉箱开孔与不开孔时越浪量之比为30%~82%。研究表明开孔沉箱能够有效降低海岸结构物的平均越浪量;国内学者提出的开孔沉箱越浪量计算方法所得结果更加接近物理模型试验结果。     

A generic data assimilation framework for vehicle trajectory reconstruction on signalized urban arterials using particle filters

With trajectory data, a complete microscopic and macroscopic picture of traffic flow operations can be obtained. However, trajectory data are difficult to observe over large spatiotemporal regions—particularly in urban contexts—due to practical, technical and financial constraints. The next best thing is to estimate plausible trajectories from whatever data are available. This paper presents a generic data assimilation framework to reconstruct such plausible trajectories on signalized urban arterials using microscopic traffic flow models and data from loops (individual vehicle passages and thus vehicle counts); traffic control data; and (sparse) travel time measurements from whatever source available. The key problem we address is that loops suffer from miss- and over-counts, which result in unbounded errors in vehicle accumulations, rendering trajectory reconstruction highly problematic. Our framework solves this problem in two ways. First, we correct the systematic error in vehicle accumulation by fusing the counts with sparsely available travel times. Second, the proposed framework uses particle filtering and an innovative hierarchical resampling scheme, which effectively integrates over the remaining error distribution, resulting in plausible trajectories. The proposed data assimilation framework is tested and validated using simulated data. Experiments and an extensive sensitivity analysis show that the proposed method is robust to errors both in the model and in the measurements, and provides good estimations for vehicle accumulation and vehicle trajectories with moderate sensor quality. The framework does not impose restrictions on the type of microscopic models used and can be naturally extended to include and estimate additional trajectory attributes such as destination and path, given data are available for assimilation.     

波浪动力对开敞淤泥质海岸深水航道边坡稳定性的影响

开敞淤泥质海岸深水航道边坡的稳定性关系到航道的基建及维护费用,是航道工程设计中最重要的问题之一。以连云港港徐圩港区10万吨级航道为研究对象,采用在连云港海域应用较为成熟的波浪数学模型推算的波要素成果,研究中浪、大浪对徐圩10万吨级航道边坡稳定性的影响,并利用边坡实测地形资料进行分析。结果表明,从波浪动力的角度来看,徐圩10万吨级航道设计边坡的坡度取值是合理的,本海域的波浪动力不会对航道边坡的稳定性造成不利影响。     

波浪作用下斜坡式护岸反射系数试验

通过物理模型试验,研究在不规则波作用下,斜坡坡度、波陡、扭王字块体的摆放方式对反射系数的影响,并将实测的反射系数与Seeling公式、Sutherland公式和Van der Meer公式的计算值进行比较。结果表明斜坡坡度与反射系数成正比,波陡与反射系数成反比,扭王字块体的摆放方式对反射系数的影响不大,试验值普遍比3种公式的计算值要大,其中试验值与Seeling公式的计算值相差较小。     

舰艇在海浪作用下的扰动仿真分析

实际海洋环境中舰艇受到多种因素的作用,对舰艇的操纵控制、船舶运动等方面产生了影响.本文基于非规则长峰波的数值仿真,提出舰艇在波浪影响下干扰力的计算方法.从频谱分析角度出发分析舰艇干扰力的主要影响因素,为仿真舰艇在海洋环境下运动提供思路.     

Estimating traffic volumes for signalized intersections using connected vehicle data

Recently connected vehicle (CV) technology has received significant attention thanks to active pilot deployments supported by the US Department of Transportation (USDOT). At signalized intersections, CVs may serve as mobile sensors, providing opportunities of reducing dependencies on conventional vehicle detectors for signal operation. However, most of the existing studies mainly focus on scenarios that penetration rates of CVs reach certain level, e.g., 25%, which may not be feasible in the near future. How to utilize data from a small number of CVs to improve traffic signal operation remains an open question. In this work, we develop an approach to estimate traffic volume, a key input to many signal optimization algorithms, using GPS trajectory data from CV or navigation devices under low market penetration rates. To estimate traffic volumes, we model vehicle arrivals at signalized intersections as a time-dependent Poisson process, which can account for signal coordination. The estimation problem is formulated as a maximum likelihood problem given multiple observed trajectories from CVs approaching to the intersection. An expectation maximization (EM) procedure is derived to solve the estimation problem. Two case studies were conducted to validate our estimation algorithm. One uses the CV data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) project, in which around 2800 CVs were deployed in the City of Ann Arbor, MI. The other uses vehicle trajectory data from users of a commercial navigation service in China. Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation is found to be 9–12%, based on benchmark data manually collected and data from loop detectors. Considering the existing scale of CV deployments, the proposed approach could be of significant help to traffic management agencies for evaluating and operating traffic signals, paving the way of using CVs for detector-free signal operation in the future.